/15190/1.hassmallThumbnailVersion/Cuaresma_et_al-2016-Journal_of_Forecasting.pdf;/id/eprint/15190/1/Cuaresma_et_al-2016-Journal_of_Forecasting.pdf|/15190/2.hassmallThumbnailVersion/for_2518-sup-0001-online%281%29.pdf;/id/eprint/15190/2/for_2518-sup-0001-online%281%29.pdf