Towards pathways bending the curve terrestrial biodiversity trends within the 21st century

15241 19 84142 2 236458 document 84142 Leclere_et_al_IIASA_2018_TowardsPathwaysBendingTheCurveOfTerrestrialBiodiversityTrendsWithinThe21stCentury.pdf application/pdf 26b68bd012fa98716727b2b05648e565 MD5 1507420 2018-05-23 09:27:45 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15241/1/Leclere_et_al_IIASA_2018_TowardsPathwaysBendingTheCurveOfTerrestrialBiodiversityTrendsWithinThe21stCentury.pdf 15241 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_sa_4

Leclere_et_al_IIASA_2018_TowardsPathwaysBendingTheCurveOfTerrestrialBiodiversityTrendsWithinThe21stCentury.pdf

published 84143 2 236469 document 84143 lightbox.jpg image/png 4dfea730adc144e14f80c1ab2572cdf3 MD5 49696 2018-05-23 09:38:10 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15241/2/lightbox.jpg 15241 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84142 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84142 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84142 archive 353 disk0/00/01/52/41 2018-05-23 09:34:15 2025-03-12 05:00:14 2018-05-23 09:34:15 other show 1 Leclere D. 2000 0000-0002-8658-1509 Obersteiner M. 7255 0000-0001-6981-2769 Alkemade R. Almond R. Barrett M. Bunting G. Burgess N. Butchart S. Chaudhary A. Cornell S. De Palma A. DeClerck F. Di Fulvio F. 8861 0000-0002-7317-6360 Di Marco M. Doelman J. Dürauer M. 2013 Ferrier S. Freeman R. Fritz S. 8130 0000-0003-0420-8549 Fujimori S. 8258 0000-0001-7897-1796 Grooten M. Harfoot M. Harwood T. Hasegawa T. 8463 Havlik P. 1868 0000-0001-5551-5085 Hellweg S. Herrero M. Hilbers J. Hill S. Hoskins A. Humpenöder F. Kram T. Krisztin T. 2088 0000-0002-9241-8628 Lotze-Campen H. Mace G. Matsui T. Meyer C. Nel D. Newbold T. Ohashi H. Popp A. Purvis A. Schipper A. Schmidt-Traub G. Stehfest E. Strassburg B. Tabeau A. Valin H. 1923 0000-0002-0618-773X van Meijl H. van Vuuren D. van Zeist W. Visconti P. Ware C. Watson J. Wu W. Young L. Towards pathways bending the curve terrestrial biodiversity trends within the 21st century pub prog_esm Unless actions are taken to reduce multiple anthropogenic pressures, biodiversity is expected to continue declining at an alarming rate. Models and scenarios can be used to help design the pathways to sustain a thriving nature and its ability to contribute to people. This approach has so far been hampered by the complexity associated with combining projections of pressures on, and subsequent responses from, biodiversity. Most previous assessments have projected continuous biodiversity declines and very few have identified pathways for reversing the loss of biodiversity without jeopardizing other objectives such as development or climate mitigation. The Bending The Curve initiative set out to advance quantitative modelling techniques towards ambitious scenarios for biodiversity. In this proof-of-concept analysis, we developed a modelling approach that demonstrates how global land use and biodiversity models can shed light on wedges able to bend the curve of biodiversity trends as affected by land-use change, the biggest current threat to biodiversity. In order to address the uncertainties associated with such pathways we used a multi-model framework and relied on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway/Representative Concentration Pathway scenario framework. This report describes the details of this modelling approach. 2018-05-21 published IIASA 10.22022/ESM/04-2018.15241 174 219 65 73 98 2881 1314 119 167 316 public FALSE no info:eu-repo/semantics/other