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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 http://eprints.org/relation/islightboxThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 84061 2 236295 document 84061 preview.jpg image/png 147a8be0ea46d8ae7ebe60261cb2ae4c MD5 10827 2018-05-17 09:21:47 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15270/3/preview.jpg 15270 3 3 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_preview en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 http://eprints.org/relation/ispreviewThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 84062 2 236296 document 84062 medium.jpg image/png 19cf72049e361ab6eba7c4d924c1ee67 MD5 6881 2018-05-17 09:21:48 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15270/4/medium.jpg 15270 4 4 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_medium en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 84063 2 236297 document 84063 small.jpg image/png ad2be3fbcbc1fa0151b3a9be0b51052f MD5 1662 2018-05-17 09:21:49 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15270/5/small.jpg 15270 5 5 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 84064 1 236298 document 84064 indexcodes.txt text/x-asm 94c771b8a95f699ffeae29ae89cea701 MD5 11544 2018-05-17 09:21:55 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15270/6/indexcodes.txt 15270 6 6 text/x-asm other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/84054 archive 2 disk0/00/01/52/70 2018-05-17 09:12:31 2021-08-27 17:30:21 2018-05-17 09:12:31 article show Abel G. 1966 0000-0002-4893-5687 pub prog_pop Background: Little attention is given to the role of migration in global population projection models. Most demographers set future levels of net migration on trajectories towards zero in all countries, nullifying the impact of migration on long-run projected populations. Yet as fertility and mortality rates fall, the role of migration on future population change is becoming more pronounced. Objective: In this paper we develop future long-run migration scenarios to provide a range of possible outcomes. Methods: Our alternative migration scenarios are linked to the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP), widely used in research on global environmental change. These are utilized as inputs for a global cohort component projection model to obtain population totals up until 2100 for all countries. Contribution: The results illustrate the important role of migration assumptions in long run projections, especially in post demographic transition countries. Further, they provide plausible alternatives to projections based on the commonly used, but poorly justified, convergence to the zero net migration assumption. 2018 10.4054/DemRes.2018.38.54 3136 public Demographic Research 38 1635-1662 TRUE 1435-9871 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/article