Spatio-temporal assessment of integrating intermittent electricity in the EU and Western Balkans power sector under ambitious CO2 emission policies

15514 20 86714 3 246220 document 86714 Spatio-temporal assessment of integrating RE in EU-WB power sector_postprint.pdf application/pdf 39fed2aa6e89fb002a6d4074ab041b87 MD5 4390666 2019-02-26 10:36:43 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15514/1/Spatio-temporal%20assessment%20of%20integrating%20RE%20in%20EU-WB%20power%20sector_postprint.pdf 15514 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_nc_nd_4

Spatio-temporal assessment of integrating RE in EU-WB power sector_postprint.pdf

accepted 86715 2 246225 document 86715 lightbox.jpg image/png d17ddf1a8a983870a8b05c235da37400 MD5 47281 2019-02-26 10:46:50 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15514/2/lightbox.jpg 15514 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en staffonly

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86714 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86714 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86714 archive 353 disk0/00/01/55/14 2018-10-09 11:31:52 2021-08-27 17:30:52 2018-10-09 11:31:52 article show Mesfun S. 8904 0000-0002-4909-6643 Leduc S. 8228 Patrizio P. 8844 Wetterlund E. 8566 Mendoza Ponce A. 2151 0000-0002-9069-0652 Lammens T. Staritsky I. Elbersen B. Lundgren J. 8242 Kraxner F. 7904 Spatio-temporal assessment of integrating intermittent electricity in the EU and Western Balkans power sector under ambitious CO2 emission policies pub prog_esm Decarbonization; Renewable electricity; Intermittency; Optimization; Geospatial modeling; Power transmission This work investigates a power dispatch system that aims to supply the power demand of the EU and Western Balkans (EUWB) based on low-carbon generation units, enabled by the expansion of biomass, solar, and wind based electricity. A spatially explicit techno-economic optimization tool simulates the EUWB power sector to explore the dispatch of new renewable electricity capacity on a EUWB scale, under ambitious CO2 emission policies. The results show that utility-scale deployment of renewable electricity is feasible and can contribute about 9–39% of the total generation mix, for a carbon price range of 0–200 €/tCO2 and with the existing capacities of the cross-border transmission network. Even without any explicit carbon incentive (carbon price of 0 €/tCO2), more than 35% of the variable power in the most ambitious CO2 mitigation scenario (carbon price of 200 €/tCO2) would be economically feasible to deploy. Spatial assessment of bio-electricity potential (based on forest and agriculture feedstock) showed limited presence in the optimal generation mix (0–6%), marginalizing its effect as baseload. Expansion of the existing cross-border transmission capacities helps even out the variability of solar and wind technologies, but may also result in lower installed RE capacity in favor of state-of-the-art natural gas with relatively low sensitivity to increasing carbon taxes. A sensitivity analysis of the investment cost, even under a low-investment scenario and at the high end of the CO2 price range, showed natural gas remains at around 11% of the total generation, emphasizing how costly it would be to achieve the final percentages toward a 100% renewable system. 2018-12-01 published Elsevier 10.1016/j.energy.2018.09.034 2889 175 2853 2929 2918 2928 165 public Energy 164 676-693 TRUE 1873-6785 Brazil-EU Cooperation for Development of Advanced Lignocellulosic Biofuels (BECOOL, H2020 744821) FALSE yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/744821/EU/Brazil-EU Cooperation for Development of Advanced Lignocellulosic Biofuels info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess