Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century

15689 15 86245 2 244660 document 86245 gmd-2018-266.pdf application/pdf e9f2a436dc143544b8a5fe26ca56df7a MD5 2324584 2019-01-17 10:15:35 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15689/1/gmd-2018-266.pdf 15689 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

gmd-2018-266.pdf

accepted 86247 1 244678 document 86247 indexcodes.txt text/x-c++ 021a52a96c0299fdce4523cb0487f107 MD5 16856 2019-01-17 10:25:36 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15689/2/indexcodes.txt 15689 2 2 text/x-c++ other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

indexcodes.txt

lightbox.jpg

preview.jpg

medium.jpg

small.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86245 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86245 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86245 archive 353 disk0/00/01/56/89 2019-01-17 10:19:38 2021-08-27 17:31:17 2019-01-17 10:19:38 article show Gidden M. 2108 0000-0003-0687-414X Riahi K. 1696 0000-0001-7193-3498 Smith S. Fujimori S. Luderer G. Kriegler E. van Vuuren D.P. van den Berg M. Feng L. Klein D. Calvin K. Doelman Jo. Frank S. 1944 0000-0001-5702-8547 Fricko O. 2004 0000-0002-6835-9883 Harmsen M. Hasegawa T. Havlik P. 1868 0000-0001-5551-5085 Hilaire J. Hoesly R. Horing J. Popp A. Stehfest E. Takahashi K. Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century pub prog_ene prog_esm We present a suite of nine scenarios of future emissions trajectories of anthropogenic sources, a key deliverable of the ScenarioMIP experiment within CMIP6. Integrated Assessment Model results for 14 different emissions species and 13 emissions sectors are provided for each scenario with consistent transitions from the historical data used in CMIP6 to future trajectories using automated harmonization before being downscaled to provide higher emission source spatial detail. We find that the scenarios span a wide range of end-of-century radiative forcing values, thus making this set of scenarios ideal for exploring a variety of warming pathways. The set of scenarios are bounded on the low end by a 1.9Wm-2 scenario, ideal for analyzing a world with end-of-century temperatures well below 2°C, and on the high-end by a 8.5Wm-2 scenario, resulting in an increase in warming of nearly 5°C over pre-industrial levels. Between these two extremes, scenarios are provided such that differences between forcing outcomes provide statistically significant regional temperature outcomes to maximize their usefulness for downstream experiments within CMIP6. A wide range of scenario data products are provided for the CMIP6 scientific community including global, regional, and gridded emissions datasets. 2019-04-12 published European Geosciences Union 10.5194/gmd-2018-266 103 250 94 97 119 public Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 12 4 1443-1475 TRUE 1991-962X Coordinated Research in Earth Systems and Climate: Experiments (CRESCENDO, H2020 641816) FALSE yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/641816/Coordinated Research in Earth Systems and Climate: Experiments, kNowledge, Dissemination and Outreach/CRESCENDO info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess