Impacts of Earthquakes on Energy Security in the Eurasian Economic Union: Resilience of the Electricity Transmission Networks in Russia, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan

15703 10 86323 2 244850 document 86323 geosciences-09-00054.pdf application/pdf 0e17bb7d7160580ab92cdf0b3ffa1743 MD5 2536847 2019-01-22 07:03:30 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15703/1/geosciences-09-00054.pdf 15703 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

geosciences-09-00054.pdf

published 86325 2 244865 document 86325 lightbox.jpg image/png c59fc3ce6687ad2bdce400472e4fec25 MD5 49265 2019-01-22 07:13:34 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15703/2/lightbox.jpg 15703 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86323 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86323 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86323 archive 353 disk0/00/01/57/03 2019-01-22 07:07:15 2021-08-27 17:31:19 2019-01-22 07:07:15 article show Iakubovskii D. Komendantova N 1880 0000-0003-2568-6179 Rovenskaya E. 8206 0000-0002-2761-3443 Krupenev D. Boyarkin D. Impacts of Earthquakes on Energy Security in the Eurasian Economic Union: Resilience of the Electricity Transmission Networks in Russia, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan pub prog_asa prog_ysp risk assessment; natural hazards; earthquake risk; energy security; reliability of power supply; Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU); integration process; common electricity market In our research, we focus on the reliability of the interconnected electricity supply system of three countries of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU)—Russia, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan. We apply a mathematical model to evaluate the reliability of the electricity supply system under the threat of earthquakes. Earthquakes can damage elements of electricity grids and, considering the interconnectivity of electricity supply systems in the EAEU, effects in the aftermath of earthquakes can be far-reaching and even transboundary. This necessitates the development of coordinated policies and risk management strategies to deal with electricity outage risks in the EAEU. In our study, the earthquake probability is derived from seismic zone maps, while damage events are computed using maps of energy power systems. In addition, we determine which elements of the system are susceptible to failure due to an earthquake of a given magnitude. We conduct a scenario analysis of earthquakes and their impacts on the reliability of the power supply system, considering potential energy losses and threats to energy security. An analysis of the resilience of electricity transmission grids allows us to determine the critical interconnection lines in terms of exposure to earthquake risk, as well as exposure to total systemic loss. We also identify the most critical interconnection lines where power outages can lead to the destabilization of the entire power supply system. Some examples of such lines are at the border of Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, where power outages can lead to serious economic costs and electricity outages. 2019-01-30 published Molecular Diversity Preservation International (MDPI) 10.3390/geosciences9010054 161 260 public Geosciences 9 1 e54 TRUE 2076-3263 FALSE no info:eu-repo/semantics/article