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Revised Manuscript CSP 2018-08-16.pdf
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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86979 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86979 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/86979 archive 353 disk0/00/01/57/95 2019-03-13 10:27:08 2021-08-27 17:31:31 2019-03-13 10:27:08 article show Vézina S. Belanger A. 6558 Sabourin P. 2141 Marois G. 2145 0000-0002-2701-6286 Literacy Skills of the Future Canadian Working-Age Population: Assessing the Skill Gap Between the Foreign- and Canadian-Born pub prog_pop Literacy skills; Microsimulation projections; Working-age population; Immigration This paper presents the results of literacy proficiency projections using a microsimulation model that simultaneously projects future demographic, ethnocultural, and socioeconomic characteristics of the Canadian population. Factors linked with literacy skills of the working-age population are analyzed for both native- and foreign-born Canadians. The projection results show that literacy skills are likely to slightly decline between 2011 and 2061, as the positive effects of increasing education are canceled out by the important skill gap between native- and foreign-born Canadians. Results of the simulation suggest that plausible changes to immigrant selection policies could prevent against the associated literacy skill decline among the Canadian working-age population. 2019-04-01 published Springer 10.1007/s42650-019-00002-x 2883 2893 2905 public Canadian Studies in Population 46 1 5-25 TRUE 0380-1489 FALSE no info:eu-repo/semantics/article