15966 11 87825 2 249798 document 87825 s41467-019-10399-3.pdf application/pdf 98c17babee4764507bd4bd9af8583e25 MD5 2970904 2019-06-24 12:24:21 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15966/1/s41467-019-10399-3.pdf 15966 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

s41467-019-10399-3.pdf

published 87832 1 249811 document 87832 indexcodes.txt text/x-c++ 8d732f62e14a56cde3d9252ff50521e8 MD5 14279 2019-06-24 12:34:24 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15966/2/indexcodes.txt 15966 2 2 text/x-c++ other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87825 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87825 http://eprints.org/relation/islightboxThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87825 87834 2 249813 document 87834 preview.jpg image/png aa5609d7cfb01527eaf2e0fbd9258152 MD5 12996 2019-06-24 12:34:41 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15966/4/preview.jpg 15966 4 4 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_preview en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87825 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87825 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87825 87836 2 249815 document 87836 small.jpg image/png 65e16b650da85d62563cdd743211117f MD5 1342 2019-06-24 12:34:42 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15966/6/small.jpg 15966 6 6 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87825 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87825 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87825 archive 353 disk0/00/01/59/66 2019-06-24 12:27:18 2024-09-09 12:43:25 2019-06-24 12:27:18 article show 1 van Ruijven B. 92197 0000-0003-1232-5892 De Cian E. Sue Wing I. pub prog_ene Future energy demand is likely to increase due to climate change, but the magnitude depends on many interacting sources of uncertainty. We combine econometrically estimated responses of energy use to income, hot and cold days with future projections of spatial population and national income under five socioeconomic scenarios and temperature increases around 2050 for two emission scenarios simulated by 21 Earth System Models (ESMs). Here we show that, across 210 realizations of socioeconomic and climate scenarios, vigorous (moderate) warming increases global climate-exposed energy demand before adaptation around 2050 by 25–58% (11–27%), on top of a factor 1.7–2.8 increase above present-day due to socioeconomic developments. We find broad agreement among ESMs that energy demand rises by more than 25% in the tropics and southern regions of the USA, Europe and China. Socioeconomic scenarios vary widely in the number of people in low-income countries exposed to increases in energy demand. 2019-06-24 published Nature Publishing Group 10.1038/s41467-019-10399-3 3102 public Nature Communications 10 1 TRUE 2041-1723 http://dare.iiasa.ac.at/41/ data ENERGY use for Adaptation (ENERGYA, H2020 756194) FALSE yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/756194/EU//ENERGYA info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess