A Framework for Global Twenty-First Century Scenarios and Models of Biological Invasions

15993 12 87970 2 250557 document 87970 biz070final.pdf application/pdf 5ac3b06c143d0aa454a358a444ac396b MD5 955065 2019-07-15 13:42:10 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15993/1/biz070final.pdf 15993 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_nc_4

biz070final.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87970 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87970 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/87970 archive 353 disk0/00/01/59/93 2019-07-15 13:45:52 2025-03-12 05:00:16 2019-07-15 13:45:52 article show Lenzner B. Leclere D. 2000 0000-0002-8658-1509 Franklin O. 1791 0000-0002-0376-4140 Seebens H. Roura-Pascual N. Obersteiner M. 7255 0000-0001-6981-2769 Dullinger S. Essl F. A Framework for Global Twenty-First Century Scenarios and Models of Biological Invasions pub prog_esm prog_ysp alien species, impacts, management, projections, scenarios Biological invasions have emerged as an eminent feature of global change, with substantial impacts on the environment and human livelihoods. Current research demonstrates that the numbers and impacts of alien species are rising unabatedly. At the same time, we lack a thorough understanding of potential future trajectories for the decades to come. With the recent establishment of comprehensive global databases, it is, for the first time, feasible to develop and quantify future scenarios of biological invasions. Therefore, we propose a conceptual framework for how to develop alien species scenarios for the twenty-first century and how to identify relevant steps and challenges along the way. The concept will be important to inform research, policy, stakeholders, and the general public. Furthermore, we call for the scientific community to join forces and to operationalize the framework for scenarios and models of biological invasions to develop an important baseline for understanding and managing future biological invasions. 2019-07-31 published Oxford University Press (OUP) 10.1093/biosci/biz070 174 95 219 public BioScience 69 9 697-710 TRUE 1525-3244 Effects of phosphorus limitations on Life, Earth system and Society (IMBALANCE-P, FP7 610028) Stimulating Innovation for Global Monitoring of Agriculture and its Impact on the Environment in support of GEOGLAM (SIGMA, FP7 603719) FALSE yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/603719//SIGMA; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/610028/EU/Effects of phosphorus limitations on Life, Earth system and Society/IMBALANCE-P info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess