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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1648 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1648 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1648 archive 351 disk0/00/00/16/20 2016-01-15 01:49:31 2021-08-27 17:10:17 2016-01-15 01:49:31 monograph show 2 Quade E.S. AL1711 Handbook of Systems Analysis: Volume 1. Overview. Chapter 7. Predicting the Consequences: Models and Modeling pub iis_iiasa iis_mod iis_sys prog_gen The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis is preparing a Handbook of Systems Analysis, which will appear in three volumes: Volume 1: Overview is aimed at a widely varied audience of producers and users of systems analysis studies. Volume 2: Methods is aimed at systems analysts and other members of systems analysis teams who need basic knowledge of methods in which they are not expert; this volume contains introductory overviews of such methods. Volume 3: Cases contains descriptions of actual systems analyses that illustrate the diversity of the contexts and methods of systems analysis. Drafts of the material for Volume 1 are being widely circulated for comment and suggested improvement. This Working Paper is the current draft of Chapter 7. Correspondence is invited. Volume 1 will consist of the following ten chapters: 1. The context, nature, and use of systems analysis 2. The genesis of applied systems analysis; 3. Examples of applied systems analysis 4. The methods of applied systems analysis: An introduction and overview 5. Formulating problems for systems analysis 6. Objectives, constraints, and alternatives 7. Predicting the consequences: Models and modeling 8. Guidance for decision 9. Implementation 10. The practice of applied systems analysis To these ten chapters will be added a glossary of systems analysis terms and a bibliography of basic works in the field. 1981-10 published WP-81-141 WP-81-141 2752 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 43 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book