16396 10 89902 3 260485 document 89902 Predicting_the_number_of_COVID-19_cases_from_the_reported_number_of_deaths__Brannstrom_et_al__Preprint_2020_03_22.pdf application/pdf 26bfdf8389570aa82a16bc4d92f027c1 MD5 626098 2020-03-30 15:15:41 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/16396/1/Predicting_the_number_of_COVID-19_cases_from_the_reported_number_of_deaths__Brannstrom_et_al__Preprint_2020_03_22.pdf 16396 1 1 application/pdf text en public arr

Predicting_the_number_of_COVID-19_cases_from_the_reported_number_of_deaths__Brannstrom_et_al__Preprint_2020_03_22.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/89902 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/89902 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/89902 89908 1 260506 document 89908 indexcodes.txt text/x-c 054e7c8ac569c62c8900f3093f18ea73 MD5 2206 2020-03-30 15:25:53 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/16396/6/indexcodes.txt 16396 6 6 text/x-c other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/89902 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/89902 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/89902 archive 2 disk0/00/01/63/96 2020-03-30 15:22:37 2021-08-27 17:32:50 2020-03-30 20:14:55 other show 1 Brännström Å. 8085 Sjödin H. Rocklöv J. pub prog_eep COVID-19 The new corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-2019) is rapidly spreading through the world. With insufficient testing, available case data may underestimate the total number of infections. We statistically estimated the cumulative number of cases with confidence intervals from the reported number of deaths, assuming that the number of infections grow exponentially with a constant doubling time. Our findings indicate that the number of unreported infections is likely at least one order of magnitude higher than the reported cases, in particular in the United States and the United Kingdom. This finding is supported by a recent mass screening for SARS-CoV-2 in Iceland which found that the actual case numbers may be about 20 times higher than the officially reported number. 2020-03-22 (Preprint) 39 public FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/other