A Note on the Population 50 Years Hence

1641 33 1669 4 3310 document 1669 WP-81-120.pdf application/pdf cf3509d701734121c0539b5480ffbc6d MD5 287080 2016-01-15 01:49:36 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/1641/1/WP-81-120.pdf 1641 1 1 text en public

WP-81-120.pdf

22 060f93605541a6d81e3a2b9edf847ce63f67fb6d 24526 2 36258 document 24526 lightbox.jpg image/png 7f4df3b8ec2d45d78d11b20f1bb26fe2 MD5 13963 2016-01-15 18:29:13 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/1641/2/lightbox.jpg 1641 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

lightbox.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/islightboxThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 24527 2 36259 document 24527 preview.jpg image/png 3ca27a38cc9ccd9a9200d6c6ba18535b MD5 6005 2016-01-15 18:29:14 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/1641/3/preview.jpg 1641 3 3 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_preview en public

preview.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/ispreviewThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 24528 2 36260 document 24528 medium.jpg image/png 9116cc678b4c6f140991d248254b2e6b MD5 1945 2016-01-15 18:29:15 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/1641/4/medium.jpg 1641 4 4 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_medium en public

medium.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 24529 2 36261 document 24529 small.jpg image/png e2a2196b6c9682bc3b429ff7590734a1 MD5 1112 2016-01-15 18:29:16 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/1641/5/small.jpg 1641 5 5 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

small.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 24531 1 36263 document 24531 indexcodes.txt text/x-c 83d2f34cdc5a889aabb53e9f8e4ed3f8 MD5 4705 2016-01-15 18:29:26 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/1641/6/indexcodes.txt 1641 6 6 text/x-c other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

indexcodes.txt

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 82820 2 232541 document 82820 WP-81-120.pdf application/pdf 1de1d9cd956cb7b206849ec77affba7e MD5 979380 2018-03-14 11:46:33 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/1641/7/WP-81-120.pdf 1641 7 7 application/pdf other Coversheet version en public

WP-81-120.pdf

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1669 archive 351 disk0/00/00/16/41 2016-01-15 01:49:36 2021-08-27 17:10:19 2016-01-15 01:49:36 monograph show 2 Ausubel J.H. AL0460 Stoto M.A. AL1259 A Note on the Population 50 Years Hence pub iis_mod iis_pop prog_ren prog_sds Attitudes toward societal planning horizons may assume that there is relatively little overlap between the population of today and the population of the future. To test this assumption a rough calculation is made of how many people who are alive today will be alive 50 years hence. The calculation is made on the basis of 3 age cohorts for a sample of 10 countries from 8 demographic categories. While the result is uncertain because of changing mortality, poor data, etc., the authors believe it is reasonably robust. About forty percent of those alive today will be alive in 50 years. This proportion includes 550 million people 15 or older. These results suggest that long planning horizons are rational from the point of view of the self-interest of the existing population. Further research into societal planning horizons would be useful. 1981-09 published WP-81-120 WP-81-120 1698 2423 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 10 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book