Projected Global Loss of Mammal Habitat Due to Land-Use and Climate Change

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/90619 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/90619 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/90619 archive 353 disk0/00/01/65/26 2020-06-22 12:38:18 2025-08-13 05:00:19 2020-06-22 12:38:18 article show Baisero D. Visconti P. 2230 0000-0001-6823-2826 Pacifici M. Cimatti M. Rondinini C. Projected Global Loss of Mammal Habitat Due to Land-Use and Climate Change pub prog_esm Human pressure on the environment is driving a global decline of biodiversity. Anticipating whether this trend can be reverted under future scenarios is key to supporting policy decisions. We used the InSiGHTS framework to model the impacts of land-use and climate change on future habitat availability for 2,827 terrestrial mammals at 15 arcmin resolution under five contrasting global scenarios based on combinations of representative concentration pathways and shared socio-economic pathways between 2015 and 2050. Mammal habitat declined globally by 5%–16% depending on the scenario. Africa (with declines up to 25%) and South America were the most affected regions. African insectivores, primates, Australian carnivorous marsupials and marsupial moles, and South American opossums declined the most. Tackling this loss would require a mix of actions across scales, including a global shift toward sustainability, addressing land-use change in sub-Saharan Africa, and helping endemic species track climate change in South America. 2020-06-19 published Cell Press 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.05.015 3114 public One Earth 2 6 578-585 TRUE 2590-3322 FALSE no info:eu-repo/semantics/article