Estimating the Future Input of Fossil Fuel CO2 into the Atmosphere by Simulation Gaming

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1682 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1682 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1682 archive 351 disk0/00/00/16/54 2016-01-15 01:49:39 2021-08-27 17:10:20 2016-01-15 01:49:39 monograph show 2 Stahl I. AL1247 Ausubel J.H. AL0460 Estimating the Future Input of Fossil Fuel CO2 into the Atmosphere by Simulation Gaming pub iis_cli iis_ecn iis_mod prog_ren Previous estimates of input of fossil fuel CO2 into the atmosphere are reviewed, including those of NAS, IIASA, IEA, and Marchetti. Methods employed largely disregard that if CO2-induced changes are indeed harmful then there may be efforts to prevent emissions. There is a need to include explicitly societal response to increasing CO2 emissions in estimating future input as well as the strategic interaction among national energy policies. Economic theory of the general equilibrium type, game theory, and computer simulation (without humans) have disadvantages in this regard. Gaming, involving humans playing the roles of various nations, may be an illuminating approach to the problem. A simple game, focusing on coal, trade, and many nations is proposed as an initial effort. 1981-07 published WP-81-107 WP-81-107 2417 1698 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 28 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book