Modelling the renewable transition: Scenarios and pathways for a decarbonized future using pymedeas, a new open-source energy systems model

16592 7 90962 2 263459 document 90962 1-s2.0-S1364032120303968-main.pdf application/pdf 9378fcec34f55409fd2ec4477a51710c MD5 5760158 2020-07-27 07:14:12 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/16592/1/1-s2.0-S1364032120303968-main.pdf 16592 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/90962 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/90962 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/90962 archive 353 disk0/00/01/65/92 2020-07-27 07:18:20 2021-08-27 17:33:19 2020-07-27 07:18:20 article show Solé J. Samsó R. García-Ladona E. García-Olivares A. Ballabrera-Poy J. Madurell T. Turiel A. Osychenko O. Álvarez D. Bardi U. Baumann M. Buchmann K. Capellán-Pérez Í. Černý M. Carpintero Ó. De Blas I. De Castro C. De Lathouwer J.-D. Duce C. Eggler L. Enríquez J.M. Falsini S. Feng K. 2208 Ferreras N. Frechoso F. Hubacek K. 7747 Jones A. Kaclíková R. Kerschner C. Kimmich C. Lobejón L.F. Lomas P.L. Martelloni G. Mediavilla M. Miguel L.J. Natalini D. Nieto J. Nikolaev A. Parrado G. Papagianni S. Perissi I. Ploiner C. Radulov L. Rodrigo P. Sun L. Theofilidi M. Modelling the renewable transition: Scenarios and pathways for a decarbonized future using pymedeas, a new open-source energy systems model pub prog_wat Biophysical constraints; Climate damage; Energy efficiency; GHG emissions; Raw materials; Energy costs This paper reviews different approaches to modelling the energy transition towards a zero carbon economy. It identifies a number of limitations in current approaches such as a lack of consideration of out-of-equilibrium situations (like an energy transition) and non-linear feedbacks. To tackle those issues, the new open source integrated assessment model pymedeas is introduced, which allows the exploration of the design and planning of appropriate strategies and policies for decarbonizing the energy sector at World and EU level. The main novelty of the new open-source model is that it addresses the energy transition by considering biophysical limits, availability of raw materials, and climate change impacts. This paper showcases the model capabilities through several simulation experiments to explore alternative pathways for the renewable transition. In the selected scenarios of this work, future shortage of fossil fuels is found to be the most influential factor of the simulations system evolution. Changes in efficiency and climate change damages are also important determinants influencing model outcomes. 2020-10 published Elsevier 10.1016/j.rser.2020.110105 3007 1331 public Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 132 e110105 TRUE 1879-0690 FALSE no info:eu-repo/semantics/article