Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

16872 15 92487 4 268327 document 92487 ONeilletal_scenariosframework_revised_6oct20_all.pdf application/pdf 14b9c473741c53b59af267d15817faa0 MD5 461523 2020-12-07 16:59:45 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/16872/1/ONeilletal_scenariosframework_revised_6oct20_all.pdf 16872 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

ONeilletal_scenariosframework_revised_6oct20_all.pdf

accepted 92493 2 268335 document 92493 lightbox.jpg image/png 168b5c6d175956bb370da0f93d71c4ea MD5 47818 2020-12-07 17:09:52 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/16872/2/lightbox.jpg 16872 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en staffonly

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/92487 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/92487 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/92487 archive 2 disk0/00/01/68/72 2020-11-26 05:53:00 2024-09-09 12:42:40 2020-11-26 05:53:00 article show O’Neill B.C. Carter T.R. Ebi K. Harrison P.A. Kemp-Benedict E. Kok K. Kriegler E. Preston B.L. Riahi K. 1696 0000-0001-7193-3498 Sillmann J. van Ruijven B. 92197 0000-0003-1232-5892 van Vuuren D. Carlisle D. Conde C. Fuglestvedt J. Green C. Hasegawa T. Leininger J. Monteith S. Pichs-Madruga R. Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework pub prog_ene Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario framework combining alternative futures of climate and society to facilitate integrated research and consistent assessment to inform policy. Here we assess how well this framework is working and what challenges it faces. We synthesize insights from scenario-based literature, community discussions and recent experience in assessments, concluding that the framework has been widely adopted across research communities and is largely meeting immediate needs. However, some mixed successes and a changing policy and research landscape present key challenges, and we recommend several new directions for the development and use of this framework. 2020-11-25 Nature Publishing Group 10.1038/s41558-020-00952-0 https://rdcu.be/cblq1 250 3102 public Nature Climate Change 10 12 1074-1084 TRUE 1758-678X Exploring National and Global Actions to reduce Greenhouse gas Emissions (ENGAGE, H2020 821471) FALSE yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/821471/EU//ENGAGE info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess