Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change

16997 16 92969 4 269462 document 92969 Global Terrestrial Water Storage and Drought Severity under Climate Change postprint.pdf application/pdf d3d5dc4080309a3e45200ea9e8b13587 MD5 5960062 2021-01-15 12:07:44 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/16997/1/Global%20Terrestrial%20Water%20Storage%20and%20Drought%20Severity%20under%20Climate%20Change%20postprint.pdf 16997 1 1 application/pdf text en public

Global Terrestrial Water Storage and Drought Severity under Climate Change postprint.pdf

accepted 92970 2 269465 document 92970 lightbox.jpg image/png 9a80cfe8c571aa0c12a8a68171d7dd53 MD5 42914 2021-01-15 12:18:06 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/16997/2/lightbox.jpg 16997 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en staffonly

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/92969 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/92969 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/92969 archive 2 disk0/00/01/69/97 2021-01-15 11:55:14 2024-09-09 12:42:40 2021-01-15 11:55:14 article show 1 Pokhrel Y. Felfelani F. Satoh Y. 2080 Boulange J. Burek P. 2091 0000-0001-6390-8487 Gädeke A. Gerten D. Gosling S.N. Grillakis M. Gudmundsson L. Hanasaki N. Kim H. Koutroulis A. Liu J. Papadimitriou L. Schewe J. Müller Schmied H. Stacke T. Telteu C.-E. Thiery W. Veldkamp T. 9011 Zhao F. Wada Y. 8940 0000-0003-4770-2539 Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change pub BNR WAT Terrestrial water storage (TWS) modulates the hydrological cycle and is a key determinant of water availability and an indicator of drought. While historical TWS variations have been increasingly studied, future changes in TWS and the linkages to droughts remain unexamined. Here, using ensemble hydrological simulations, we show that climate change could reduce TWS in many regions, especially those in the Southern Hemisphere. Strong inter-ensemble agreement indicates high confidence in the projected changes that are driven primarily by climate forcing rather than land and water management activities. Declines in TWS translate to increases in future droughts. By the late twenty-first century, the global land area and population in extreme-to-exceptional TWS drought could more than double, each increasing from 3% during 1976–2005 to 7% and 8%, respectively. Our findings highlight the importance of climate change mitigation to avoid adverse TWS impacts and increased droughts, and the need for improved water resource management and adaptation. 2021-01-11 Nature Publishing Group 10.1038/s41558-020-00972-w 268 46 2895 2601 public Nature Climate Change 11 226-233 TRUE 1758-678X European Climate Prediction system (EUCP, H2020 776613) FALSE yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/776613/EU//EUCP info:eu-repo/semantics/article