Air quality and health implications of 1.5–2°C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population: A multi-model scenario analysis

17043 13 93249 2 270196 document 93249 Rafaj+et+al_2021_Environ._Res._Lett._10.1088_1748-9326_abdf0b.pdf application/pdf b087226aea88d133f1cebcc2c06ea30b MD5 1367623 2021-02-22 07:58:16 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/17043/1/Rafaj%2Bet%2Bal_2021_Environ._Res._Lett._10.1088_1748-9326_abdf0b.pdf 17043 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

Rafaj+et+al_2021_Environ._Res._Lett._10.1088_1748-9326_abdf0b.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/93249 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/93249 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/93249 archive 353 disk0/00/01/70/43 2021-02-22 08:02:25 2025-03-12 05:00:09 2021-02-22 08:02:25 article show Rafaj P. 1822 0000-0003-1000-5617 Kiesewetter G. 8472 0000-0002-9369-9812 Krey V. 8099 0000-0003-0307-3515 Schöpp W. 1017 0000-0001-5990-423X Bertram C. Drouet L. Fricko O. 2004 0000-0002-6835-9883 Shinichiro F. Harmsen M. Hilaire J. Huppmann D. 2107 0000-0002-7729-7389 Klimont Z. 1473 0000-0003-2630-198X Kolp P. 1793 0000-0003-0122-2839 Aleluia Reis L. van Vuuren D.P. Air quality and health implications of 1.5–2°C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population: A multi-model scenario analysis pub ECE IACC ECEPM S3 TISS Low-carbon pathways consistent with the 2°C and 1.5°C long-term climate goals defined in the Paris Agreement are likely to induce substantial co-benefits for air pollution and associated health impacts. In this analysis, using five global integrated assessment models, we quantify the emission reductions in key air pollutants resulting from the decarbonization of energy systems and the resulting changes in premature mortality attributed to the exposure to ambient concentrations of fine particulate matter. The emission reductions differ by sectors. Sulfur emissions are mainly reduced from power plants and industry, cuts in nitrogen oxides are dominated by the transport sector, and the largest abatement of primary fine particles is achieved in the residential sector. The analysis also shows that health benefits are the largest when policies addressing climate change mitigation and stringent air pollution controls are coordinated. We decompose the key factors that determine the extent of health co-benefits, focusing on Asia: changes in emissions, urbanization rates, population growth and ageing. Demographic processes, particularly due to ageing population, counteract in many regions the mortality reductions realized through lower emissions. 2021-01-22 published Institute of Physics Publishing (IOP) 10.1088/1748-9326/abdf0b 241 154 166 273 97 130 159 160 public Environmental Research Letters 16 4 e045005 TRUE 1748-9326 Linking Climate and Development Policies - Leveraging International Networks and Knowledge Sharing (CD-LINKS, H2020 642147) Exploring National and Global Actions to reduce Greenhouse gas Emissions (ENGAGE, H2020 821471) FALSE yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/642147/EU//CD-LINKS;info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/821471/EU//ENGAGE info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess