Health impacts of fine particles under climate change mitigation, air quality control, and demographic change in India

17044 13 93255 2 270209 document 93255 Dimitrova+et+al_2021_Environ._Res._Lett._10.1088_1748-9326_abe5d5.pdf application/pdf db3635ea3937c812b87c71b73fc038d5 MD5 1692653 2021-02-22 09:29:48 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/17044/1/Dimitrova%2Bet%2Bal_2021_Environ._Res._Lett._10.1088_1748-9326_abe5d5.pdf 17044 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

Dimitrova+et+al_2021_Environ._Res._Lett._10.1088_1748-9326_abe5d5.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/93255 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/93255 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/93255 archive 353 disk0/00/01/70/44 2021-02-22 09:31:59 2025-03-31 12:31:43 2021-02-22 09:31:59 article show Dimitrova A.K. Marois G. 2145 0000-0002-2701-6286 Kiesewetter G. 8472 0000-0002-9369-9812 K.C. S. 1808 Rafaj P. 1822 0000-0003-1000-5617 Tonne C. Health impacts of fine particles under climate change mitigation, air quality control, and demographic change in India pub ECE IACC ECEPM POPJUS MDM Despite low per capita emissions, with over a billion population, India is pivotal for climate change mitigation globally, ranking as the third largest emitter of greenhouse gases. We linked a previously published multidimensional population projection with emission projections from an integrated assessment model to quantify the localised (i.e. state-level) health benefits from reduced ambient fine particulate matter in India under global climate change mitigation scenarios in line with the Paris Agreement targets and national scenarios for maximum feasible air quality control. We incorporated assumptions about future demographic, urbanisation and epidemiological trends and accounted for model feedbacks. Our results indicate that compared to a business-as-usual scenario, pursuit of aspirational climate change mitigation targets can avert up to 8.0 million premature deaths and add up to 0.7 years to life expectancy (LE) at birth due to cleaner air by 2050. Combining aggressive climate change mitigation efforts with maximum feasible air quality control can add 1.6 years to life expectancy. Holding demographic change constant, we find that climate change mitigation and air quality control will contribute slightly more to increases in LE in urban areas than in rural areas and in states with lower socio-economic development. 2021-04-27 published Institute of Physics Publishing (IOP) 10.1088/1748-9326/abe5d5 2905 154 140 241 public Environmental Research Letters 16 5 e054025 TRUE 1748-9326 Exploring National and Global Actions to reduce Greenhouse gas Emissions (ENGAGE, H2020 821471) Linking Climate and Development Policies - Leveraging International Networks and Knowledge Sharing (CD-LINKS, H2020 642147) FALSE yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/821471/EU//ENGAGE; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/642147/EU//CD-LINKS info:eu-repo/semantics/article