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engproc-05-00008.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/94576 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/94576 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/94576 archive 353 disk0/00/01/73/02 2021-07-05 10:48:32 2021-08-27 17:34:58 2021-07-05 10:48:32 article show Liu S. Ermolieva T. 7638 Cao G.-Y. 1708 Chen G. Zheng X. pub BNR IBF COVID-19; regression discontinuity in time and ‘earlyR’ epidemic models; real-time reproduction number; risk perception; effectiveness of intervention measures This study compares the effectiveness of COVID-19 control policies on the virus’s spread and on the change of the infection dynamics in China, Germany, Austria, and the USA relying on a regression discontinuity in time and ‘earlyR’ epidemic models. The effectiveness of policies is measured by real-time reproduction number and cases counts. Comparison between the two lockdowns within each country showed the importance of people's risk perception for the effectiveness of the measures. Results suggest that restrictions applied for a long period or reintroduced later may cause at-tenuated effect on the circulation of the virus and the number of casualties. 2021-06-25 published MDPI 10.3390/engproc2021005008 83 51 public Engineering Proceedings 5 1 e8 TRUE 2673-4591 FALSE no info:eu-repo/semantics/article