How much multilateralism do we need? Effectiveness of unilateral agricultural mitigation efforts in the global context

17492 9 95583 2 294260 document 95583 Frank_2021_Environ._Res._Lett._16_104038.pdf application/pdf 8b157eba638672c381aba040fe97639c MD5 1612852 2021-10-12 11:45:57 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/17492/1/Frank_2021_Environ._Res._Lett._16_104038.pdf 17492 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

Frank_2021_Environ._Res._Lett._16_104038.pdf

published 95584 2 294262 document 95584 lightbox.jpg image/png 64b8b22f78737a1c3b2a0a4ece587d91 MD5 12699 2021-10-12 11:46:19 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/17492/2/lightbox.jpg 17492 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/95583 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/95583 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/95583 archive 2 disk0/00/01/74/92 2021-10-12 11:57:56 2024-09-09 12:40:45 2021-10-12 11:57:56 article show Frank S. 1944 0000-0001-5702-8547 Havlik P 1868 0000-0001-5551-5085 Tabeau A. Witzke P. Boere E. 2082 Bogonos M. Deppermann A. 2072 van Dijk M. 2147 0000-0002-5207-7304 Höglund-Isaksson L. 1786 0000-0001-7514-3135 Janssens C. Kesting M. van Meijl H. Pérez-Domínguez I. Valin H. 1923 0000-0002-0618-773X How much multilateralism do we need? Effectiveness of unilateral agricultural mitigation efforts in the global context pub BNR IBF ECE ECEPM Achieving climate neutrality in the European Union (EU) by 2050 will require substantial efforts across all economic sectors, including agriculture. At the same time, an ambitious unilateral EU agricultural mitigation policy is likely to have adverse effects on the sector and may have limited efficiency at global scale due to emission leakage to non-EU regions. To analyse the competitiveness of the EU's agricultural sector and potential non-CO2 emission leakage conditional on mitigation efforts outside the EU, we apply three economic agricultural sector models. We find that an ambitious unilateral EU mitigation policy in line with efforts needed to achieve the 1.5 °C target globally strongly affects EU ruminant production and trade balance. However, since EU farmers rank among the most greenhouse gas efficient producers worldwide, if the rest of the world were to start pursuing agricultural mitigation efforts too, economic impacts of an ambitious domestic mitigation policy get buffered and EU livestock producers could even start to benefit from a globally coordinated mitigation policy. 2021-10-08 Institute of Physics Publishing (IOP) 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2967 94 119 34 64 2911 128 316 public Environmental Research Letters 16 10 e104038 TRUE 1748-9326 SUpport for Policy RElevant Modelling of Agriculture (SUPREMA, H2020 773499) Exploring National and Global Actions to reduce Greenhouse gas Emissions (ENGAGE, H2020 821471) Next generation of AdVanced InteGrated Assessment modelling to support climaTE policy making (NAVIGATE, H2020 821124) Modelling INdividual Decisions to Support The European Policies related to agriculture (MIND STEP, H2020 817566) yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/773499/EU//SUPREMA; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/821471/EU//ENGAGE; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/821124/EU//NAVIGATE; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/817566/EU//MINDSTEP info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess