A sustainable future for Africa through continental free trade and agricultural development

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/98645 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/98645 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/98645 archive 2 disk0/00/01/81/63 2022-08-18 17:42:58 2025-03-12 05:00:20 2022-08-18 17:42:58 article show Janssens C. 9177 Havlik P. 1868 0000-0001-5551-5085 Boere E. 2082 Palazzo A. 1994 0000-0001-8167-9403 Mosnier A. 1894 Leclère D. 2000 0000-0002-8658-1509 Balkovic J. 1977 0000-0003-2955-4931 Maertens M. A sustainable future for Africa through continental free trade and agricultural development pub BNR IBF Developing and integrating agricultural markets may be key to addressing Africa’s sustainability challenges. By modelling trade costs from farm gate to potential import markets across eight African regions, we investigate the impact of individual components of continental free trade and the complementary role of domestic agricultural development through increased market access for farmers and agricultural intensification. We find that free trade would increase intra-African agricultural trade sixfold by 2030 but—since it does not address local supply constraints—outside food imports and undernourishment would reduce only marginally. Agricultural development could almost eliminate undernourishment in Africa by 2050 at only a small cost of increased global greenhouse gas emissions. While continental free trade will be enabled in Africa through the African Continental Free Trade Area, aligning this with local agricultural development policies is crucial to increase intra-African trade gains, promote food security and achieve climate objectives. 2022 Nature Publishing Group doi:10.1038/s43016-022-00572-1 https://tinyurl.com/zsamnwte 3103 119 34 223 212 174 23 public Nature Food 3 8 608-618 TRUE 2662-1355 REmote Climate Effects and their Impact on European sustainability, Policy and Trade (RECEIPT, H2020 820712) yes nfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/820712/EU//RECEIPT info:eu-repo/semantics/article