18607 9 100788 2 308603 document 100788 WP-23-003.pdf application/pdf 701e1ca42c508883015dcc74a3f2cc96 MD5 1224329 2023-02-08 13:05:33 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18607/1/WP-23-003.pdf 18607 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_nc_4

WP-23-003.pdf

published 100789 1 308605 document 100789 indexcodes.txt text/x-c 3227b69006f8bb9dc5848028cfe94cd4 MD5 14975 2023-02-08 13:05:56 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18607/2/indexcodes.txt 18607 2 2 text/x-c other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/100788 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/100788 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/100788 100793 2 308609 document 100793 small.jpg image/png c93163411f3a13a29cefc5b7285cc841 MD5 1747 2023-02-08 13:06:05 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18607/6/small.jpg 18607 6 6 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/100788 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/100788 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/100788 archive 353 disk0/00/01/86/07 2023-02-03 12:11:09 2023-02-09 09:12:30 2023-02-03 12:11:09 monograph show 1 K.C. S. 1808 Gailey N. 2204 Albert van Jaarsveld, Director General and Chief Executive Officer pub POPJUS MDM MIG Eastern Europe is a demographic frontrunner among late-stage Demographic Transition societies. The feared consequences of its aging, brain drain, and depopulation have drawn major political attention in the region. To assess the inevitability of such trends, a new multi-dimensional demographic model projects the populations of Armenia, Georgia, North Macedonia, Romania, and Ukraine. A range of futures beyond a baseline scenario were investigated, reflecting emigration intentions and desired fertility. Findings suggest that from 2020 to 2050 the five populations would decline by 5%-36% and the proportion aged 65+ would increase by 48%-99%, but concurrently see a 7%-49% relative rise in skilled human capital (vocational or tertiary education) among those aged 20-64. Depending on whether policy succeeds in helping people achieve their desired fertility or lowering brain drain pressures, these potential outcomes can become considerably more moderate or magnified. 2023-02-03 published WP-23-003 140 3009 public working_paper Laxenburg, Austria FALSE no info:eu-repo/semantics/book