Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: Modelling Nature Futures

18851 9 101847 2 311163 document 101847 1-s2.0-S095937802300047X-main.pdf application/pdf 71a5fa94e6b5807fea821bfd0426f9e0 MD5 3581575 2023-06-13 07:28:52 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18851/1/1-s2.0-S095937802300047X-main.pdf 18851 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101847 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101847 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101847 archive 353 disk0/00/01/88/51 2023-06-13 07:33:34 2025-08-13 05:00:24 2023-06-13 07:33:34 article show 1 Kim H. Peterson G. Cheung W. Ferrier S. Alkemade R. Arneth A. Kuiper J. Okayasu S. Pereira L. Acosta L. Chaplin-Kramer R. den Belder E. Eddy T. Johnson J. Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen S. Kok M. Leadley P. Leclere D. 2000 0000-0002-8658-1509 Lundquist C. Rondinini C. Scholes R. Schoolenberg M. Shin Y.-J. Stehfest E. Stephenson F. Visconti P. 2230 0000-0001-6823-2826 van Vuuren D. Wabnitz C. José Alava J. Cuadros-Casanova I. Davies K. Gasalla M. Halouani G. Harfoot M. Hashimoto S. Hickler T. Hirsch T. Kolomytsev G. Miller B. Ohashi H. Gabriela Palomo M. Popp A. Paco Remme R. Saito O. Rashid Sumalia U. Willcock S. Pereira H. Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: Modelling Nature Futures pub BNR IBF BEC Scenario analysis; Biodiversity; Conservation; Sustainability; Values; Futures The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) is a heuristic tool for co-creating positive futures for nature and people. It seeks to open up a diversity of futures through mainly three value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature, Nature for Society, and Nature as Culture. This paper describes how the NFF can be applied in modelling to support decision-making. First, we describe key considerations for the NFF in developing qualitative and quantitative scenarios: i) multiple value perspectives on nature as a state space where pathways improving nature toward a frontier can be represented, ii) mutually reinforcing key feedbacks of social-ecological systems that are important for nature conservation and human wellbeing, iii) indicators of multiple knowledge systems describing the evolution of complex social-ecological dynamics. We then present three approaches to modelling Nature Futures scenarios in the review, screening, and design phases of policy processes. This paper seeks to facilitate the integration of relational values of nature in models and strengthen modelled linkages across biodiversity, nature’s contributions to people, and quality of life. 2023-09 published Elsevier doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102681 174 3114 public Global Environmental Change 82 e102681 TRUE 1872-9495 info:eu-repo/semantics/article