18858 8 101907 2 311341 document 101907 s43016-023-00770-5.pdf application/pdf b83caa94d0d99173014da3c8d10eabe0 MD5 1977121 2023-06-19 19:23:15 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18858/1/s43016-023-00770-5.pdf 18858 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

s43016-023-00770-5.pdf

published 101908 1 311347 document 101908 indexcodes.txt text/x-c++ 549295acd1cafc6ba10d7d52d0e38645 MD5 14530 2023-06-19 19:33:30 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18858/2/indexcodes.txt 18858 2 2 text/x-c++ other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 101909 2 311348 document 101909 lightbox.jpg image/png 4afb2a396d78a163d30fe7b99dc63028 MD5 58864 2023-06-19 19:33:59 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18858/3/lightbox.jpg 18858 3 3 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 http://eprints.org/relation/islightboxThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 101910 2 311349 document 101910 preview.jpg image/png e2071d2e6e46b73fc5dcf29f0ca14ccd MD5 23814 2023-06-19 19:34:00 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18858/4/preview.jpg 18858 4 4 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_preview en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 http://eprints.org/relation/ispreviewThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 101911 2 311350 document 101911 medium.jpg image/png e0b7cb677da13647e9ec866ffa15a99a MD5 7535 2023-06-19 19:34:01 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18858/5/medium.jpg 18858 5 5 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_medium en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 101912 2 311351 document 101912 small.jpg image/png eab25c7be4d9e7ebedb10ab277a49148 MD5 1816 2023-06-19 19:34:01 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18858/6/small.jpg 18858 6 6 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/101907 archive 353 disk0/00/01/88/58 2023-06-19 19:26:20 2025-03-12 05:01:03 2023-06-19 19:26:20 article show De Vos K. 9463 0000-0002-4607-7877 Janssens C. 9177 Jacobs L. Campforts B. Boere E. 2082 Kozicka M. 2327 0000-0002-2323-3689 Havlik P. 1868 0000-0001-5551-5085 Folberth C. 2033 0000-0002-6738-5238 Balkovič J. 1977 0000-0003-2955-4931 Maertens M. Govers G. pub BNR AFE IBF As Africa is facing multiple challenges related to food security, frameworks integrating production and availability are urgent for policymaking. Attention should be given not only to gradual socio-economic and climatic changes but also to their temporal variability. Here we present an integrated framework that allows one to assess the impacts of socio-economic development, gradual climate change and climate anomalies. We apply this framework to rice production and consumption in Africa whereby we explicitly account for the continent’s dependency on imported rice. We show that socio-economic development dictates rice availability, whereas climate change has only minor effects in the long term and is predicted not to amplify supply shocks. Still, rainfed-dominated or self-producing regions are sensitive to local climatic anomalies, while trade dominates stability in import-dependent regions. Our study suggests that facilitating agricultural development and limiting trade barriers are key in relieving future challenges to rice availability and stability. 2023-06-19 published Nature Publishing Group doi:10.1038/s43016-023-00770-5 3407 3103 34 3307 119 92 23 public Nature Food TRUE 2662-1355 no info:eu-repo/semantics/article