19003 5 102633 2 313469 document 102633 science.adf5848.pdf application/pdf 4b3742734e8922309b13a47894c316fe MD5 1302589 2023-08-11 11:51:13 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19003/1/science.adf5848.pdf 19003 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

science.adf5848.pdf

published 102640 1 313482 document 102640 indexcodes.txt text/x-c 67c0cfc1bc2938103bcf4830e070bf51 MD5 13641 2023-08-11 11:56:45 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19003/2/indexcodes.txt 19003 2 2 text/x-c other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/102633 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/102633 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/102633 102644 2 313490 document 102644 small.jpg image/png ffa141e8e6f36d6478c63bd63bfb66c8 MD5 2193 2023-08-11 12:01:28 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19003/6/small.jpg 19003 6 6 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/102633 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/102633 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/102633 archive 353 disk0/00/01/90/03 2023-08-11 11:55:31 2023-08-11 11:55:31 2023-08-11 11:55:31 article show Carlino A. 9388 Wildemeersch M. 2075 0000-0002-6660-2712 Chawanda C.J. Giuliani M. Sterl S. Thiery W. van Griensven A. Castelletti A. pub ASA EM prog_ysp Across continental Africa, more than 300 new hydropower projects are under consideration to meet the future energy demand that is expected based on the growing population and increasing energy access. Yet large uncertainties associated with hydroclimatic and socioeconomic changes challenge hydropower planning. In this work, we show that only 40 to 68% of the candidate hydropower capacity in Africa is economically attractive. By analyzing the African energy systems' development from 2020 to 2050 for different scenarios of energy demand, land-use change, and climate impacts on water availability, we find that wind and solar outcompete hydropower by 2030. An additional 1.8 to 4% increase in annual continental investment ensures reliability against future hydroclimatic variability. However, cooperation between countries is needed to overcome the divergent spatial distribution of investment costs and potential energy deficits. 2023-08 published American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) doi:10.1126/science.adf5848 3285 331 public Science 381 6658 TRUE 1095-9203 info:eu-repo/semantics/article