Low flow sensitivity to water withdrawals in Central and Southwestern Europe under 2 K global warming

19015 11 102699 2 313610 document 102699 Greve_2023_Environ._Res._Lett._18_094020.pdf application/pdf 02a30ceac0e22409dcb2e4a16c7da88e MD5 11605111 2023-08-17 14:26:44 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19015/1/Greve_2023_Environ._Res._Lett._18_094020.pdf 19015 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

Greve_2023_Environ._Res._Lett._18_094020.pdf

published 102700 1 313619 document 102700 indexcodes.txt text/x-c++ e4202c736e16f27a1705941082653c35 MD5 14637 2023-08-17 14:36:45 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19015/2/indexcodes.txt 19015 2 2 text/x-c++ other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/102699 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/102699 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/102699 archive 353 disk0/00/01/90/15 2023-08-17 14:32:29 2025-09-22 13:46:37 2023-08-17 14:32:29 article show Greve P. 2142 Burek P. 2091 0000-0001-6390-8487 Guillaumot L. 9207 0000-0002-6579-6287 van Meijgaard E. Aalbers E. Smilovic M. 2211 0000-0001-9651-8821 Sperna-Weiland F. Kahil T. 2103 0000-0002-7812-5271 Wada Y. Low flow sensitivity to water withdrawals in Central and Southwestern Europe under 2 K global warming pub BNR WAT A sufficient freshwater supply is vital for humans, ecosystems, and economies, but anticipated climate and socio-economic change are expected to substantially alter water availability. Across Europe, about two-third of the abstracted freshwater comes from rivers and streams. Various hydrological studies address the resulting need for projections on changes in river discharge. However, those assessments rarely specifically account for the impact of various water withdrawal scenarios during low flow periods. We present here a novel, high-resolution hydrological modeling experiment using pseudo-global warming climate data to investigate the effects of changing water withdrawals under 2 K global warming. Especially in Western and Central Europe the projected impacts on low flows highly depend on the chosen water withdrawal assumption and can severely decrease under the worst case assumptions. Our results highlight the importance of accounting for future water withdrawals in low flow projections, showing that climate-focused impact assessments in near-natural catchments provide only one piece of the anticipated response and do not necessarily reflect changes in heavily managed river basins. 2023-08-17 published Institute of Physics Publishing (IOP) doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acec60 2897 46 3155 3079 142 public Environmental Research Letters 18 9 e094020 TRUE 1748-9326 European Climate Prediction system (EUCP, H2020 776613) Water Resources System Safe Operating Space in a Changing Climate and Society (SOS-WATER, HE 101059264) yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/776613/EU//EUCP; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/101059264/EU//SOS-WATER info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess