Costs and health benefits of the rural energy transition to carbon neutrality in China

19132 9 103309 2 315130 document 103309 s41467-023-41707-7 (1).pdf application/pdf 78e8999690f676300069cf30b7d52279 MD5 1756018 2023-10-18 07:42:03 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19132/1/s41467-023-41707-7%20%281%29.pdf 19132 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

s41467-023-41707-7 (1).pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/103309 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/103309 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/103309 archive 353 disk0/00/01/91/32 2023-10-18 07:46:19 2025-03-12 05:01:18 2023-10-18 07:46:19 article show Ma T. Zhang S. Xiao Y. Liu X. Wang M. Wu K. Shen G. Huang C. 9924 0009-0009-8839-2478 Fang Y.R. Xie Y. Costs and health benefits of the rural energy transition to carbon neutrality in China pub ECE ECEPM The rural energy transition is critical in China’s efforts to achieve carbon neutrality and improve air quality. However, the costs and health benefits associated with the transition to carbon neutrality remain unclear. Here we explore the cost-effective transition pathways and air quality-related health impacts using an integrated energy-air quality-health modeling framework. We find that decarbonizing rural cooking and heating would triple contemporary energy consumption from 2014 to 2060, considerably reducing energy poverty nationwide. By 2060, electric cooking ranges and air-to-air heat pumps should be widely integrated, costing an additional 13 billion USD nationally in transformation costs, with ~40% concentrated in Shandong, Heilongjiang, Shanxi and Hebei provinces. Rural residential decarbonization would remarkably improve air quality in northern China, yielding substantial health co-benefits. Notably, monetized health benefits in most provinces are projected to offset transformation costs, except for certain relatively lower-development southwestern provinces, implying more financial support for rural residents in these areas will be needed. 2023-09-14 published Nature Publishing Group doi:10.1038/s41467-023-41707-7 3697 public Nature Communications 14 1 TRUE 2041-1723 no info:eu-repo/semantics/article