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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1950 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1950 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1950 archive 351 disk0/00/00/19/47 2016-01-15 01:51:19 2021-08-27 17:10:49 2016-01-15 01:51:19 monograph show 2 Rogers A. AL1153 Williams P. pub iis_mig iis_ecn iis_mod prog_hss This paper outlines a theoretical framework for the consistent and policy relevant projection of populations disaggregated by sex, age, marital status, and region. The framework makes use of multistate life table and projection techniques, and a two-sex model of transitions between the married, divorced, and widowed states, to ensure the consistent determination of the future size and structure of the population on the basis of transitions assumed to occur over the projection period. It also uses model schedules to reduce the information load required for projection and to produce descriptive and interpretable parameters which can be explained and projected with the aid of an economic model that relates these parameters of demographic transition to their demographic and economic determinants. An illustrative application of this framework, using Australian data, is included. 1982-07 published WP-82-069 WP-82-069 2339 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 68 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book