Updating the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Global Population and Human Capital Projections

19487 19 105082 2 319783 document 105082 WP-24-003.pdf application/pdf 00ae87d1bb4b88625b95ee08a6e71d56 MD5 5016144 2024-02-16 14:04:58 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19487/1/WP-24-003.pdf 19487 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_nc_4

WP-24-003.pdf

published 105083 1 319785 document 105083 indexcodes.txt text/x-c++ 83873ddcf9333ecd18b0223faea5ae2a MD5 17959 2024-02-16 14:05:49 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19487/2/indexcodes.txt 19487 2 2 text/x-c++ other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/105082 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/105082 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/105082 archive 353 disk0/00/01/94/87 2024-02-08 08:21:15 2025-10-01 13:14:27 2024-02-08 08:21:15 monograph show 1 K.C. S. 1808 Dhakad M. 9254 0000-0002-8798-385X Potančoková M. 1985 0000-0001-6115-5952 Adhikari S. 2294 Yildiz D. 2175 0000-0001-6192-0634 Mamolo M. 1797 Sobotka T. Zeman K. Abel G. 1966 0000-0002-4893-5687 Lutz W. 1124 0000-0001-7975-8145 Goujon A. 1569 0000-0003-4125-6857 John Schellnhuber, Directorate Updating the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Global Population and Human Capital Projections pub POPJUS MDM MIG SHAW prog_dir H2A The first set of population projections following the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) was developed in 2013. These projections have found widespread use within the environmental and climate change community, among others. In 2018, an SSPs update was generated but not integrated into the SSP database. In 2021, the SSP community requested an update of the human core of the SSPs, which is detailed in this report. This updated version is based on 2020 as the reference year, with adjustments to certain short-term assumptions extending to 2030. Consequently, the assumptions' trend component is grounded in recent observed changes. The modeling approaches for fertility, mortality, and educational attainment have been revised. Notably, there are updates to education-specific fertility rates with new estimates. Education-specific mortality has been made specific to countries and regions. Additionally, this version introduces explicit education-specific migration differentials. The paper presents a comparison between the methodology used for developing the global population and education projections under the five SSPs and the previous method. Furthermore, a brief analysis is conducted on the primary results regarding population size and composition, with comparisons made to earlier projections and other organizations, including the United Nations Population Division. 2024-02-07 published WP-24-003 140 3551 236 3202 2960 3395 3136 190 110 public working_paper Laxenburg, Austria https://zenodo.org/records/10618931 data no info:eu-repo/semantics/book