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WP-82-047.pdf

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WP-82-047.pdf

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1977 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1977 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1977 archive 351 disk0/00/00/19/69 2016-01-15 01:51:31 2021-08-27 17:10:51 2016-01-15 01:51:31 monograph show 3 Vaupel J.W. AL1336 Yashin A.I. AL1394 pub iis_bio iis_rsk iis_pop prog_hss The members of most populations gradually die off or drop out: people die, machines wear out, residents move out, etc. In many such "aging" populations, some members are more likely to "die" than others. Standard analytical methods largely ignore this heterogeneity; the methods assume that all members of a population at a given age face the same probability of death. This paper presents some mathematical methods for studying how the behavior over time of a heterogeneous population deviates from the behavior of the individuals that make up the population. The methods yield some startling results: individuals age faster than populations, eliminating a cause of death can decrease life expectancy, a population can suffer a higher death rate than another population even though its members have lower death rates, population death rates can be increasing even though its members' death rates are decreasing. 1982-05 published WP-82-047 WP-82-047 2478 2535 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 61 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book