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s41467-024-47197-5.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/106166 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/106166 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/106166 106171 2 322473 document 106171 small.jpg image/png 81ac2bd13e974389c2e9f24185c7a50b MD5 1836 2024-05-15 08:30:42 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19729/6/small.jpg 19729 6 6 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/106166 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/106166 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/106166 archive 2 disk0/00/01/97/29 2024-05-15 08:30:09 2024-09-09 12:43:11 2024-05-15 08:30:09 article show Falchetta G. 9187 0000-0003-2607-2195 De Cian E. Sue Wing I. Carr D. pub ECE IACC The global population is aging at the same time as heat exposures are increasing due to climate change. Age structure, and its biological and socio-economic drivers, determine populations’ vulnerability to high temperatures. Here we combine age-stratified demographic projections with downscaled temperature projections to mid-century and find that chronic exposure to heat doubles across all warming scenarios. Moreover, >23% of the global population aged 69+ will inhabit climates whose 95th percentile of daily maximum temperature exceeds the critical threshold of 37.5 °C, compared with 14% today, exposing an additional 177–246 million older adults to dangerous acute heat. Effects are most severe in Asia and Africa, which also have the lowest adaptive capacity. Our results facilitate regional heat risk assessments and inform public health decision-making. 2024-05-14 Nature Publishing Group doi:10.1038/s41467-024-47197-5 3119 public Nature Communications 15 1 e3678 TRUE 2041-1723 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8409700 data https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10417641 code info:eu-repo/semantics/article