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fclim-06-1397358.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/106770 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/106770 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/106770 archive 353 disk0/00/01/98/47 2024-07-01 08:05:46 2026-03-02 09:26:42 2024-07-01 08:05:46 article show Myhre G. Byrom R.E. Andrews T. Forster P.M. Smith C. 9291 0000-0003-0599-4633 pub ECE IACC climate models; climate response; CMIP6; effective radiative forcing; imbalance For effective radiative forcing (ERF) to be an ideal metric for comparing the strength of different climate drivers (such as CO2 and aerosols), the ratio of radiative forcing to global-mean temperature change must be the same for each driver. Typically, this ratio is divided by the same ratio for CO2 and termed efficacy. Previously it has been shown that efficacy is close to unity in abrupt perturbation experiments for a range of climate drivers, but efficacy with respect to CO2 has not been investigated in transient realistic simulations. Here, we analyse transient simulations from CMIP6 experiments and show comparable results between transient and abrupt perturbation experiments. We demonstrate that aerosol efficacy is not significantly different from unity, however inter-model differences in aerosol experiments are notably large. 2024-06 published Frontiers doi:10.3389/fclim.2024.1397358 3162 public Frontiers in Climate 6 e1397358 TRUE 2624-9553 Constraining uncertainty of multi decadal climate projections (CONSTRAIN, H2020 820829) yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/820829/EU//CONSTRAIN info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess