Models and methods for transport demand and decarbonisation: A review

19921 8 107142 2 324719 document 107142 Thomas+et+al_2024_Environ._Res._Lett._10.1088_1748-9326_ad6b3a.pdf application/pdf b4d95d2fea2b383321c9bbc35a144efd MD5 1231671 2024-08-07 11:29:49 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19921/1/Thomas%2Bet%2Bal_2024_Environ._Res._Lett._10.1088_1748-9326_ad6b3a.pdf 19921 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

Thomas+et+al_2024_Environ._Res._Lett._10.1088_1748-9326_ad6b3a.pdf

accepted 107143 2 324725 document 107143 lightbox.jpg image/png 780600a48cddccae1d9ae766ea91f440 MD5 28598 2024-08-07 11:39:57 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19921/2/lightbox.jpg 19921 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107142 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107142 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107142 archive 353 disk0/00/01/99/21 2024-08-07 11:32:32 2026-04-10 12:29:17 2024-08-07 11:32:32 article show Thomas H. Carmona Aparicio L.G. Creutzig F. Hara T. 8022 Hayashi A. Callegari C.L. Martinez L. Kishimoto P. 2210 0000-0002-8578-753X Niamir L. 9056 0000-0002-0285-5542 Saheb Y. Trouvé M. Models and methods for transport demand and decarbonisation: A review pub ECE IACC S3 Rising global greenhouse gas emissions from the transport sector pose a major challenge to meeting the targets of the Paris Agreement. This raises questions of how technology, infrastructure and societal trends and policies can influence transport demand and thus also emissions, energy demand and service levels. Here the literature on factors relevant to shifting total transport activity and mode shares, categorised into exogenous drivers, socio-behavioural, infrastructural and technological aspects, is reviewed. For each factor, current approaches to modelling and measuring the impact of each factor on transport systems are summarised, resulting in a proposed taxonomy to classify transport demand modelling approaches. We then comment on the suitability and sufficiency of existing modelling approaches for representing scenarios consistent with the Paris Agreement targets in models of the entire global energy system. Factors that affect transport demand are currently insufficiently represented in integrated assessment modelling approaches and thus emission reduction pathways. Improving the comprehension and representation of diverse factors that affect transport demand in global energy systems models, by incorporating features of complementary models with high resolution representations of transport, holds promise for generating well informed policy recommendations. Accordingly, policies could influence the development of the factors themselves and their potential role in mitigating climate change. 2024-08-05 published Institute of Physics Publishing (IOP) doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad6b3a 3423 3104 3145 public Environmental Research Letters 19 9 e093005 TRUE 1748-9326 Urban Futures Hub Energy Demand Changes Induced by Technological and Social Innovations (EDITS) info:eu-repo/semantics/article