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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2009 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2009 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2009 archive 351 disk0/00/00/19/98 2016-01-15 01:51:40 2021-08-27 17:10:53 2016-01-15 01:51:40 monograph show 2 Wegener M. AL0409 pub iis_urb iis_ecn iis_mod prog_hss In this paper, selected results of a multilevel dynamic simulation model of the economic and demographic development in the urban region of Dortmund, FRG, are presented. The model simulates location decisions of industry, residential developers, and households, the resulting migration and commuting patterns, the land use development, and the impacts of public policies in the fields of industrial development, housing, and infrastructure. In particular, the paper illustrates the capability of the model to capture not only urban growth processes, but also processes of urban decline. For this purpose, first the mechanisms which control spatial growth, decline, or redistribution of activities in the model are outlined. Second, it is demonstrated how the model reproduces the general pattern of past spatial development in the region. Third, results of simulations covering a wide range of potential over all economic and demographic development in the region are discussed. 1982-02 published WP-82-017 WP-82-017 2504 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 51 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book