19989 6 107468 2 325920 document 107468 s41467-024-52028-8.pdf application/pdf b822ca78fa9391bdd33f3e7eb48de315 MD5 9132288 2024-09-18 12:49:30 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19989/1/s41467-024-52028-8.pdf 19989 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_nc_nd_4

s41467-024-52028-8.pdf

published 107470 2 325933 document 107470 lightbox.jpg image/png a719949691c270d2fb8d05d52c2add67 MD5 60993 2024-09-18 12:59:45 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19989/2/lightbox.jpg 19989 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107468 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107468 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107468 107474 1 325937 document 107474 indexcodes.txt text/x-c++ 38572cdb5766b33b42985024f58c7e58 MD5 15640 2024-09-18 12:59:49 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19989/6/indexcodes.txt 19989 6 6 text/x-c++ other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107468 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107468 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107468 archive 353 disk0/00/01/99/89 2024-09-18 12:51:10 2024-09-18 12:51:10 2024-09-18 12:51:10 article show Falchetta G. 9187 0000-0003-2607-2195 De Cian E. Pavanello F. Wing I.S. pub ECE IACC Intersecting socio-demographic transformations and warming climates portend increasing worldwide heat exposures and health sequelae. Cooling adaptation via air conditioning (AC) is effective, but energy-intensive and constrained by household-level differences in income and adaptive capacity. Using statistical models trained on a large multi-country household survey dataset (n = 673,215), we project AC adoption and energy use to mid-century at fine spatial resolution worldwide. Globally, the share of households with residential AC could grow from 27% to 41% (range of scenarios assessed: 33-48%), implying up to a doubling of residential cooling electricity consumption, from 1220 to 1940 (scenarios range: 1590-2377) terawatt-hours yr.-1, emitting between 590 and 1,365 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO2e). AC access and utilization will remain highly unequal within and across countries and income groups, with significant regressive impacts. Up to 4 billion people may lack air-conditioning in 2050. Our global gridded projections facilitate incorporation of AC's vulnerability, health, and decarbonization effects into integrated assessments of climate change. 2024-09-16 published NPG doi:10.1038/s41467-024-52028-8 3119 public Nature Communications 15 1 e7874 TRUE 2041-1723 no info:eu-repo/semantics/article