Multiple pathways towards sustainable development goals and climate targets

20084 9 107860 2 327022 document 107860 Soergel_2024_Environ._Res._Lett._19_124009.pdf application/pdf 8181b8693580d4ff8f3f6a66d01bc435 MD5 2513365 2024-10-30 12:27:36 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/20084/1/Soergel_2024_Environ._Res._Lett._19_124009.pdf 20084 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

Soergel_2024_Environ._Res._Lett._19_124009.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107860 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107860 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107860 archive 353 disk0/00/02/00/84 2024-10-30 12:37:48 2026-03-06 05:00:20 2024-10-30 12:37:48 article show Soergel B. Rauner S. Daioglou V. Weindl I. Mastrucci A. 2129 0000-0002-5611-7780 Carrer F. Kikstra J. 2256 0000-0001-9405-1228 Ambrósio G. Aguiar A.P.D. Baumstark L. Bodirsky B.L. Bos A. Dietrich J.P. Dirnaichner A. Doelman J.C. Hasse R. Hernandez A. Hoppe J. Humpenöder F. Iacobuţă G.I. Keppler D. Koch J. Luderer G. Lotze-Campen H. Pehl M. Poblete Cazenave M. 8909 0000-0001-8280-910X Popp A. Remy M. van Zeist W.-J. Cornell S. Dombrowsky I. Hertwich E.G. Schmidt F. van Ruijven B. 92197 0000-0003-1232-5892 van Vuuren D. Kriegler E. Multiple pathways towards sustainable development goals and climate targets pub ECE IACC S3 TISS The UN sustainable development goals (SDGs) and the Paris climate target require a holistic transformation towards human well-being within planetary boundaries. However, there are growing debates on how to best pursue these targets. Proposed transformation strategies include market- and technology-driven green-growth, shifting towards a sufficiency-oriented post-growth economy, and a transformation driven primarily by strong government action. Here we quantify three alternative sustainable development pathways (SDPs), Economy-driven Innovation, Resilient Communities, and Managing the Global Commons, that reflect these different societal strategies. We compare the quantifications from two integrated assessment models and two sectoral models of the buildings and materials sectors across a broad set of indicators for sustainable development and climate action. Our global multi-scenario and multi-model analysis shows that all three SDPs enable substantial progress towards the human development goals of the SDGs. They simultaneously limit global warming and prevent further environmental degradation, with the sufficiency-oriented Resilient Communities scenario showing the lowest peak warming and lowest reliance on carbon dioxide removal as well as the largest improvements in biodiversity intactness. The SDPs also alleviate the concerns about the biogeophysical and technological feasibility of narrowly-focused climate change mitigation scenarios. However, the shifts in energy and food consumption patterns assumed in the SDPs, ranging from moderate in Economy-driven Innovation to very ambitious in Resilient Communities, also lead to increased challenges regarding socio-cultural feasibility. 2024-10-30 published Institute of Physics Publishing (IOP) doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad80af 2872 3149 3068 3102 public Environmental Research Letters 19 12 e124009 TRUE 1748-9326 Sustainable development pathways achieving Human well-being while safeguarding the climate And Planet Earth (SHAPE) Assessment of Cross(X)-sectoral climate Impacts and pathways for Sustainable transformation (AXIS, H2020 776608) Next generation of AdVanced InteGrated Assessment modelling to support climaTE policy making (NAVIGATE, H2020 821124) Exploring National and Global Actions to reduce Greenhouse gas Emissions (ENGAGE, H2020 821471) Project on Integrated Assessment model-based Scenarios for Sustainable development Objectives (PICASSO, H2020 819566) yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/776608/EU//AXIS; info:eu-repo/grantAgreeinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/821124/EU//NAVIGATE; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/950408/EU//MANIFEST; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/821124/EU//NAVIGATE info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess