20111 5 107993 2 327320 document 107993 s11069-024-06987-2.pdf application/pdf 7b40891d418ceeb112d35dfca2b1bd21 MD5 1761146 2024-11-12 08:36:30 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/20111/1/s11069-024-06987-2.pdf 20111 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107993 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107993 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/107993 archive 353 disk0/00/02/01/11 2024-11-12 08:38:16 2024-11-12 08:38:16 2024-11-12 08:38:16 article show Ton M.J. de Moel H. de Bruijn J. 8884 0000-0003-3961-6382 Reimann L. Botzen W.J.W. Aerts J.C.J.H. pub BNR WAT Gravity model; Migration; Natural hazards; United States In this paper, we analyze the impact of natural hazards on internal migration in the United States (US). The analysis uses Internal Revenue Service (IRS) tax records and analyzes different versions of a gravity model to assess the impact of economic damage caused by natural hazards on migration flows between counties. We find that natural hazards in the origin county are associated to larger outflows, with hurricanes exhibiting the most substantial impact on migration, followed by floodings and severe storms. These results emphasize the need for migration research that distinguishes between various types of hazards. Furthermore, we extend the gravity model to investigate whether people tend to relocate to relatively nearby areas in response to natural hazards, an established phenomenon in existing literature. For floods and severe storms, the analysis demonstrates that migration flows to nearby counties are comparatively larger than to distant counties. These findings may be concerning, as it implies that individuals could still be at a high risk of experiencing future disasters. Additionally, we provide several robustness checks to investigate to what extent our results are driven by extreme events in the dataset. 2024-11-06 published Springer doi:10.1007/s11069-024-06987-2 3164 public Natural Hazards TRUE 1573-0840 info:eu-repo/semantics/article