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bouwman-et-al-2024-multimodel-and-multiconstituent-scenario-construction-for-future-water-quality.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/108259 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/108259 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/108259 archive 353 disk0/00/02/01/57 2024-12-02 08:35:19 2025-03-13 13:03:10 2024-12-02 08:35:19 article show Bouwman A.F. Bärlund I. Beusen A.H.W. Flörke M. Gramberger M. Cardona J.R. Podgorski J. van den Roovaart J. Grizzetti B. Janssen A.B.G. Kumar R. Langan S. Poikane S. Spears B.M. Strokal M. Tang T. 2176 0000-0002-2867-9241 Troost T.A. Vigiak O. van Vliet M.T.H. Vystavna Y. Wang M. Hofstra N. pub BNR WAT Anthropogenic chemicals; Arsenic; Biological oxygen demand; Fecal coliform; Future; Global; Groundwater; Nitrogen; Scenario; Surface water; Water quality Freshwater pollution is, together with climate change, one of today’s most severe and pervasive threats to the global environment. Comprehensive and spatially explicit scenarios covering a wide range of constituents for freshwater quality are currently scarce. In this Global Perspective paper, we propose a novel model-based approach for five water quality constituents relevant for human and ecosystem health (nitrogen, biochemical oxygen demand, anthropogenic chemicals, fecal coliform, and arsenic). To project the driving forces and consequences for emissions and impacts, a set of common data based on the same assumptions was prepared and used in different large-scale water quality models including all relevant demographic, socioeconomic, and cultural changes, as well as threshold concentrations to determine the risk for human and ecosystem health. The analysis portrays the strong links among water quality, socio-economic development, and lifestyle. Internal consistency of assumptions and input data is a prerequisite for constructing comparable scenarios using different models to support targeted policy development. 2024-11 published ACS Publications doi:10.1021/acs.estlett.4c00789 3086 public Environmental Science & Technology Letters 11 12 1272-1280 TRUE 2328-8930 no info:eu-repo/semantics/article