Climate change threatens the sustainability of current timber harvesting practices across a latitudinal gradient in Siberia

20526 12 109519 3 332173 document 109519 Gustafson_2025_Harvest_and_climate_change_in_Siberia_Preprint.pdf application/pdf 96ae5251cd1626c1983f798c456ae179 MD5 2345583 2025-04-22 13:16:58 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/20526/1/Gustafson_2025_Harvest_and_climate_change_in_Siberia_Preprint.pdf 20526 1 1 application/pdf text en public arr

Gustafson_2025_Harvest_and_climate_change_in_Siberia_Preprint.pdf

2025-04-21 accepted 109520 2 332176 document 109520 indexcodes.txt text/plain cd564dc57d1785991034a88f9c160857 MD5 21116 2025-04-22 13:17:45 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/20526/2/indexcodes.txt 20526 2 2 text/plain other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

indexcodes.txt

lightbox.jpg

preview.jpg

medium.jpg

small.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/109519 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/109519 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/109519 archive 353 disk0/00/02/05/26 2025-04-22 11:42:14 2025-04-23 03:00:03 2025-04-22 11:42:14 article show Gustafson E.J. Lucash M.S. Shvidenko A. 1487 Sturtevant B.R. Shchepashchenko D. 7435 0000-0002-7814-4990 Mast C. Williams N. Climate change threatens the sustainability of current timber harvesting practices across a latitudinal gradient in Siberia pub ASA NODES BNR AFE The boreal forests of Eurasia form the largest contiguous terrestrial biome in the world, providing numerous ecosystem functions and services for human societies. Temperatures are increasing most rapidly in high northern latitudes, altering tree growth and competition dynamics, and modifying disturbance regimes. The effect of these cumulative changes on the ecosystem functions provided by boreal forests is difficult to predict. We used the process-based LANDIS-II forest landscape model to evaluate how climate change and timber harvesting will interact to alter the production of ecosystem functions and services in boreal forests on three study areas across a large latitudinal gradient (11°) in central Siberia. We found that the relative importance of wood harvesting as a disturbance type varied depending on latitude and its impact was always far less than that of fire. Moderate climate change increased the availability of wood for harvest in the northern landscape, but wood availability declined in the southern landscapes under any amount of climate change likely because of an increase in the frequency of fire that kept forests too young for harvest. Modest climate change (RCP6.0) increased productivity and the storage of carbon in all landscapes but severe climate change (RCP8.5) reduced both in the southernmost landscape. Harvesting as a specific driver of change in these boreal forests is likely to be relatively minor except as a forest fragmentation process. Our results provide compelling evidence that status quo forest management in these landscapes is likely not sustainable, suggesting that climate-smart forestry will be needed. 2025-04-22 published Springer doi:10.1007/s10342-025-01782-5 281 279 public European Journal of Forest Research TRUE 1612-4669 info:eu-repo/semantics/article