20715 7 110247 2 334051 document 110247 s11113-025-09966-y.pdf application/pdf 9aa8b2a2c00770dbe38f18c70c2e9b3b MD5 1177715 2025-06-30 06:38:18 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/20715/1/s11113-025-09966-y.pdf 20715 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

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published 110251 1 334080 document 110251 indexcodes.txt text/x-c 9046cdaeec21ef3b037a0780da670ed0 MD5 8682 2025-06-30 06:48:16 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/20715/2/indexcodes.txt 20715 2 2 text/x-c other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/110247 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/110247 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/110247 110255 2 334084 document 110255 small.jpg image/png 60f3a1f34551cf7281078d6590dca835 MD5 2100 2025-06-30 06:48:20 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/20715/6/small.jpg 20715 6 6 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/110247 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/110247 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/110247 archive 353 disk0/00/02/07/15 2025-06-30 06:39:29 2025-10-01 13:14:26 2025-06-30 06:39:29 article show Marois G. 2145 0000-0002-2701-6286 Gietel-Basten S. Lutz W. 1124 0000-0001-7975-8145 pub POPJUS MDM SHAW H2A As India surpasses China as the world’s most populous country, questions arise as to whether this demographic shift will lead India to overtake China economically. This paper examines this demographic race beyond population size. Using multi-dimensional demographic projections by age, sex, education, and labor force participation, we show that China’s current apparent demographic travails will not necessarily threaten its leading status relative to India for most of the next half century given India’s disadvantage in educational attainment and very low female labor force participation. India’s young population could provide a demographic dividend later this century, but only if it makes substantial investments in education and increasing women’s labor force participation rates. The demographic race between giants will be determined more by human capital development than simply by total population size. 2025-08-24 published Springer Netherlands doi:10.1007/s11113-025-09966-y 2905 190 public Population Research and Policy Review 44 4 e44 TRUE 0167-5923 info:eu-repo/semantics/article