Adapting forest management to climate change impacts and policy targets in the EU: Insights from the coupled GLOBIOM/G4M-i3PGmiX model

20752 7 110454 2 334510 document 110454 1-s2.0-S2590332225001393-main.pdf application/pdf 9014846d43316fc212909a5b53dd4dbb MD5 5148402 2025-07-14 10:29:02 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/20752/1/1-s2.0-S2590332225001393-main.pdf 20752 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_nc_nd_4

1-s2.0-S2590332225001393-main.pdf

published 110461 2 334529 document 110461 lightbox.jpg image/png 1903d16c09824067154059e3a657439f MD5 48501 2025-07-14 10:39:13 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/20752/2/lightbox.jpg 20752 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

lightbox.jpg

preview.jpg

medium.jpg

small.jpg

indexcodes.txt

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/110454 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/110454 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/110454 archive 353 disk0/00/02/07/52 2025-07-14 10:32:07 2025-07-14 10:32:07 2025-07-14 10:32:07 article show Derci Augustynczik A.L. 2314 Gusti M. 97792 Deppermann A. 2072 Nakhavali A. 2392 0000-0003-2675-6730 Jia F. 2394 Di Fulvio F. 8861 0000-0002-7317-6360 Havlik P. 1868 0000-0001-5551-5085 Adapting forest management to climate change impacts and policy targets in the EU: Insights from the coupled GLOBIOM/G4M-i3PGmiX model pub BNR IBF Climate change significantly affects forest dynamics in Europe and is projected to intensify further, posing challenges to policy goals and ecosystem integrity. This requires changes in forest management that anticipate impacts and act to minimize negative consequences on forest functioning while maintaining forests' contribution to the bio-based economy and decarbonization targets. However, it is still unclear how alternative forest management strategies can support biodiversity, green growth, and mitigation targets under changing environmental conditions. This study uses an integrated modeling framework to address this issue and assess forest management adaptation in the European Union, considering conservation goals and emerging biomass demands. The results show that climate policies will be a major driver of forest management until mid-century, with climate impacts shaping management decisions thereafter. Productivity changes vary regionally, with temperature-limited ecosystems benefiting and water-limited forests declining in growth. These biophysical impacts may displace harvests from Mediterranean and temperate forests to the boreal zone, requiring changes in management practices. Adaptive forest management will, therefore, be crucial for achieving policy goals in Europe under future climate scenarios. 2025-06 published Cell Press doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101313 3230 114 64 3491 3521 65 119 public One Earth 8 6 e101313 1 TRUE 2590-3322 The role of European forests in achieving climate neutrality by 2050 (ForestNavigator, HE 101056875) GLOBIOM yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/101056875/EU//ForestNavigator info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess