Need for speed: Co-creating scenarios for climate neutral energy systems in Austria in 2040

21038 8 111954 2 338236 document 111954 1-s2.0-S0301421524005135-main.pdf application/pdf 1d0d620b674f9c414207a890d78e639d MD5 3160498 2025-12-03 15:36:26 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/21038/1/1-s2.0-S0301421524005135-main.pdf 21038 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_4

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published 111961 1 338259 document 111961 indexcodes.txt text/plain ea4fef6730d12c89a71c9783659bbe72 MD5 23823 2025-12-03 15:45:12 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/21038/2/indexcodes.txt 21038 2 2 text/plain other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/111954 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/111954 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/111954 archive 2 disk0/00/02/10/38 2025-12-03 15:36:55 2025-12-03 15:40:55 2025-12-03 15:36:55 article show Schmidt J. Mitter H. Baumann M. Boza-Kiss B. 2149 0000-0003-4005-2481 Huppmann D. 2107 0000-0002-7729-7389 Wehrle S. Zwieb L. Klingler M. Need for speed: Co-creating scenarios for climate neutral energy systems in Austria in 2040 pub ECE IACC S3 TISS The Austrian government has pledged to achieve climate neutrality by 2040, but so far, there is a lack of consistent net-zero scenarios. Therefore, we integrate a comprehensive stakeholder with a techno-economic modelling process, coupling an energy and a power system model, to co-create qualitative scenario narratives and quantitative model-based scenarios for Austria's energy system, assuming all non-energetic emissions are eliminated. All four scenarios reach climate neutrality by 2040, but differ in terms of energy demand and trade in energy carriers. In the scenario narratives, variations in the local acceptance of renewables and of sufficiency lifestyles explain these differences. All scenario narratives emphasize that commitment of all societal actors is required to reach climate neutrality by 2040. We find that the quantitative model-based scenarios consistently point at far-ranging electrification of transport and heat supply, the buildup of renewables, and a switch in steel producing technology until 2030. Long-term developments are more diverse and show either elevated imports of synthetic fuels or a more pronounced expansion of domestic renewables. Consistently across scenarios, significant fossil fuel infrastructure must be retired before end of life and the required speed of change in energy infrastructure is unprecedented in the history of the Austrian energy system. 2025-03 published doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114493 2913 130 public Energy Policy 198 e114493 1 TRUE 03014215 info:eu-repo/semantics/article