This repository contains the data and scripts required to reproduce the results of the manuscript "Sustainable Development Key to Limiting Climate Change-Driven Wildfire Damages" submitted to the Environmental Research Letters (ERL). 

Brief description of project
This project has two main goals:

Examine the key factors influencing global economic wildfire damages 

Projecting future damages under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP370)


Repository structure

/data directory: contains the data to reproduce the regression analyses and plot the figures presented in the manuscript

/data/historical: contains the historical (training) data that was used for fitting the linear regression model 

/data/ssp: contains the SSP projection data for all predictors, as well as the projected model output for future wildfire damages

/scripts directory: contains the python scripts to run the regression model and to plot the figures presented in the manuscript

/scripts/linregress: contains the scripts for running the linear regression model and to conduct various model validation steps

/scripts/plotting: contains the scripts to plot all figures presented in the manuscript

plot_map_y_X_hist.py: script to plot Figure 1 (world map of historical wildfire damage and predictors used in this study)

plot_residual_plots.py: script to plot Figure 2 (residual and partial residual plots of the fitted regression model)

plot_beta_coef_model_prediction.py: script to plot Figure 3 (standardized beta coefficients of the fitted regression model and the scatterplots for reported vs. model-estimated wildfire damages)

plot_predictor_ssp_trend.py: script to plot Figure 4 (time-series of the SSP projections of the predictors)

plot_map_y_X_ssp.py: script to plot Figure 5 (world map of wildfire damages and predictor values for the three SSPs explored in this study)

plot_ssp_damage_projection_by_region.py: script to plot Figure 6 (projected wildfire damages under the three SSPs and for the six IPCC AR6 regions)

plot_ssp_damage_projection_per_predictor.py: script to plot Figure 7 (time-series of global mean projected wildfire damage with all predictors changing and only individual predictors changing)

plot_ssp3_ssp1_difference.py: script to plot Figure 8 (time-series of mean avoided wildfire damage in SSP126 compared to SSP370)