Wellbeing cost of carbon

21223 7 112342 2 339724 document 112342 wellbeing-cost-of-carbon.pdf application/pdf 86cdcdbad6a2427275106eb263d3b216 MD5 1051155 2026-01-13 10:22:19 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/21223/1/wellbeing-cost-of-carbon.pdf 21223 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_nc_4

wellbeing-cost-of-carbon.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/112342 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/112342 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/112342 archive 353 disk0/00/02/12/23 2026-01-13 10:26:08 2026-01-13 10:26:08 2026-01-13 10:26:08 article show Eker S. 2173 0000-0003-2264-132X Reiter C. 2218 0000-0002-1485-3851 Liu Q. 9375 Kuhn M. 2235 Lutz W. 1124 0000-0001-7975-8145 Wellbeing cost of carbon pub ASA EM ECE S3 EF POPJUS MDM climate change, climate scenarios, integrated assessment modeling, sustainable development, systems modeling, wellbeing, years of good life Human wellbeing is the guiding goal of many public policies, yet its complexity often prevents present measurement and future projections of it. Here, using a global model and a wellbeing measure called Years of Good Life (YoGL) , we show how climate change, economy, and social conditions together shape people's long-term wellbeing. We also introduce the ‘wellbeing cost of carbon' metric, which is similar to the social cost of carbon but measures the wellbeing loss due to carbon emissions instead of only economic loss. The results highlight that younger generations pay the highest price unless strong climate action is taken. Technical Summary Human wellbeing is the ultimate end of sustainable development alongside planetary wellbeing. It relies on complex interactions between natural and social systems, including those between climate change, economic growth, and human mortality. Despite extensive analyses of individual climate impacts, their combined effects on long-term wellbeing are sparsely examined. Using a dynamic systems model of global climate, economy, environment, and society relationships and employing YoGL as an empirical wellbeing indicator, we present wellbeing projections in diverse socioeconomic and climate scenarios, and calculate the loss of human wellbeing due to carbon emissions. In a climate-optimistic scenario, 20-year-old females and males gain 10.4 and 7.5 YoGL, respectively, on average by 2100, while a pessimistic scenario reduces it by 8.5 and 11.3 years. Physical health remains the most restraining driver of long-term human wellbeing, while indirect climate impacts on education and poverty also reduce it by a similar extent in a climate-pessimistic scenario. The younger generations bear a much higher wellbeing cost of carbon unless strong climate action is taken. This study offers a new quantitative, empirically grounded and integrated perspective on climate impacts on human wellbeing, expanding beyond economic damages and the social cost of carbon. Social Media Summary Climate choices today shape our future wellbeing: Strong action boosts ‘good life’ years, inaction takes it away. 2026-12-19 published Cambridge doi:10.1017/sus.2025.10042 2953 3072 3312 3124 190 public Global Sustainability 9 e1 TRUE 2059-4798 The Demography of Sustainable Human Wellbeing (EmpoweredLifeYears, H2020 741105) TRANSPARENT ASSESSMENTS FOR REAL PEOPLE (WorldTrans, HE 101081661) yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/741105/EU//EmpoweredLifeYears; info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/101081661/EU//WorldTrans info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess