Interdisciplinary perspectives on multi-risk Anticipatory Action

21478 7 113547 2 342694 document 113547 1-s2.0-S2589004226009934-main.pdf application/pdf 82cf6e663f13d278a3654fa2a6dc5878 MD5 6216409 2026-04-14 09:12:28 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/21478/1/1-s2.0-S2589004226009934-main.pdf 21478 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_nc_nd_4

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/113547 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/113547 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/113547 archive 353 disk0/00/02/14/78 2026-04-14 09:16:01 2026-04-14 09:16:01 2026-04-14 09:16:01 article show de Boer T.A. Matanó A. Calabria E.E. Alcayna T. Budimir M. de Ruiter M.C. Ewbank M. Fawwad M. Gonzalez D. Jaime C. Jones L. Kristensen K. Lazarus B. Mena R. Parkinson E. Šakić Trogrlić R. 2356 0000-0002-6627-873X Simons B. Tiggeloven T. van den Homberg M. Van Westen C. Vogel M.M. Wheatley A. White C.J. Kruczkiewicz A. Interdisciplinary perspectives on multi-risk Anticipatory Action inpress ASA SYRR Anticipatory Action (AA) has transformed how humanitarian actors respond to forecasted crises, yet most systems remain built around single hazards. This Perspective argues that to stay effective in a world where climate, conflict, and economic shocks increasingly intersect, AA must evolve toward a multi-risk approach. Drawing on a review of 105 active frameworks in 2023 and 154 in 2024 from the Anticipation Hub’s 2024 and 2025 Global Overview Reports, expert consultations, and 17 interviews, we examine how practitioners and scientists are beginning to bridge this gap. Emerging innovations—such as multi-risk analysis informing AA design, scenario-based triggers, conflict-sensitive planning, and adaptive financing—offer promising pathways, but current systems still struggle to capture dynamic vulnerabilities and interactions between risks. Advancing AA will require embracing uncertainty and redesigning systems to learn, adapt, and act across interconnected risks—moving from anticipating single hazards to anticipating intersected crises. 2026-04 published Cell doi:10.1016/j.isci.2026.115618 3417 public iScience 115618 1 TRUE 2589-0042 Multi-hazard and sYstemic framework for enhancing Risk-Informed mAnagement and Decision-making in the E.U. (MYRIAD-EU, H2020 101003276) yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/101003276/EU//MYRIAD-EU info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess