The Deviant Dynamics of Death in Heterogeneous Populations

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2187 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2187 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2187 archive 351 disk0/00/00/21/59 2016-01-15 01:52:51 2021-08-27 17:11:15 2016-01-15 01:52:51 monograph show 3 Vaupel J.W. AL1336 Yashin A.I. AL1394 The Deviant Dynamics of Death in Heterogeneous Populations pub iis_bio iis_pop iis_met prog_pop The members of most populations gradually die off or drop out: people die, machines wear out, residents move out, etc. In many such "aging" populations, some members are more likely to "die" than others. Standard analytical methods largely ignore this heterogeneity; the methods assume that all members of a population cohort at a given age face the same probability of death. This paper presents some mathematical methods for studying how the behavior over time of a heterogeneous cohort deviates from the behavior of the individuals that make up the cohort. The methods yield some startling results: individuals age faster than cohorts, eliminating a cause of death can decrease life expectancy, a cohort can suffer a higher death rate even though its members have lower death rates, and cohort death rates can be increasing even thought its members' death rates are decreasing. 1983-01 published RR-83-001 RR-83-001 10 2478 2535 public research_report IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 40 TRUE FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book