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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59641 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59641 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59641 archive 351 disk0/00/00/21/61 2016-01-15 01:52:51 2021-08-27 17:11:15 2016-01-15 01:52:51 monograph show 2 Stoto M.A. AL1259 pub iis_pop prog_sds Although population studies are key elements of many planning and policy studies, they are inherently inaccurate. This report attempts to measure the inaccuracy through a comparison of past projections with the actual population figures. The aim of this historcal study is not to criticize or applaud the quality of previous demographic predictions, but rather to provide confidence intervals for projections made today. This should allow planners to use projections more objectively by providing a range of reasonable possibilities rather than a single estimate. 1983 published RR-84-017. Reprinted from Journal of the American Statistical Association, 78 [1983]. RP-84-017 Reprinted from Journal of the American Statistical Association; 78 [1983] 10 2423 public research_reprint Journal of the American Statistical Association 78 IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 12 TRUE FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book