2178 10 59597 2 166083 document 59597 RR-83-18.pdf application/pdf 43bf3cd2acf1f2faff31e110649a4b37 MD5 5381124 2016-06-02 09:20:35 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/2178/1/RR-83-18.pdf 2178 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

RR-83-18.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59597 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59597 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59597 archive 351 disk0/00/00/21/78 2016-01-15 01:52:54 2021-08-27 17:35:27 2016-01-15 01:52:54 monograph show 1 Marchetti C. 1619 pub iis_sys iis_ene iis_ecn prog_sds The diffusion of automobiles in nine countries is seen in terms of the Volterra equations developed for ecological systems. Three parameter logistic equations fit the evolution of the car population perfectly. The behavior suggests a quasi-biological, internally generated determinism that belies the significance of engineering, economics, marketing, and media as diffusion stimuli. Their role is seen to be more a response to, than an initiator of, change. Once diffusion is complete, their significance increases, however. Car safety appears to be controlled by societal "set points." 1983 published RR-83-018. Reprinted from Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 23 [1983]. RP-83-018 Reprinted from Technological Forecasting and Social Change; 23 [1983] 10 195 public research_reprint Technological Forecasting and Social Change 23 IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 24 TRUE FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book