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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2425 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2425 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2425 archive 351 disk0/00/00/23/83 2016-01-15 01:54:19 2021-08-27 17:11:38 2016-01-15 01:54:19 monograph show 2 Marchetti C. 1619 pub iis_sys iis_ecn prog_sds Why should economic cycles (or "long waves" or "long-term pulsations in social behaviour") have a place in the Core Concepts project? Such cycles, surely, are a familiar concept, neither newly emergent nor in need of clarification. In this paper, Marchetti, questions these assumptions. They are called economic cycles, he argues, because they were first discussed by economists but, in fact, economic indicators are not nearly as successful in establishing the existence and nature of such cycles as are "physicals." So the concept is not so clear after all, but does it have some emergent quality? Does it threaten to change the conversation of applied systems analysis? Yes, says Marchetti, it changes the way in which we see our client -- the decision maker. At present, we tend to see the decision maker as the Great Controller, the Great Initiator, but, as we clarify the cycles by using physical rather than economic indications, so we begin to see him more as the Ribbon Cutter. Decision makers are downgraded and become only "the active tendrils of Big Brother, the System." 1983-11 published PP-83-005 PP-83-005 195 public professional_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 26 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book